The closely contested Ohio U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling within the margin of error in recent surveys, serves as the primary driver of trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state, the competitive dynamics and economic concerns such as inflation and affordability have sustained elevated engagement across parties. Primary turnout data from May indicated stronger Democratic mobilization and solid Republican base participation, while generational divides and high motivation among voters 50 and older—often exceeding 80 percent intent—support projected totals clustering in the 4.35 million to 4.8 million range. Ongoing voter outreach, independent crossover potential, and routine roll maintenance further shape these mid-range probabilities ahead of the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於450萬-465萬 47.5%
465萬-480萬 25%
435萬-450萬 21%
495萬–510萬 6%
$14,593 交易量
$14,593 交易量
2026-11-03
少於390萬
2%
390萬-405萬
5%
405萬-420萬
4%
420萬-435萬
4%
435萬-450萬
21%
450萬-465萬
47%
465萬-480萬
25%
480萬-495萬
<1%
495萬–510萬
6%
510萬+
1%
450萬-465萬 47.5%
465萬-480萬 25%
435萬-450萬 21%
495萬–510萬 6%
$14,593 交易量
$14,593 交易量
2026-11-03
少於390萬
$2,442 交易量
2%
390萬-405萬
$2,204 交易量
5%
405萬-420萬
$2,724 交易量
4%
420萬-435萬
$1,295 交易量
4%
435萬-450萬
$1,956 交易量
21%
450萬-465萬
$1,095 交易量
47%
465萬-480萬
$994 交易量
25%
480萬-495萬
$490 交易量
<1%
495萬–510萬
$486 交易量
6%
510萬+
$907 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Ohio U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling within the margin of error in recent surveys, serves as the primary driver of trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state, the competitive dynamics and economic concerns such as inflation and affordability have sustained elevated engagement across parties. Primary turnout data from May indicated stronger Democratic mobilization and solid Republican base participation, while generational divides and high motivation among voters 50 and older—often exceeding 80 percent intent—support projected totals clustering in the 4.35 million to 4.8 million range. Ongoing voter outreach, independent crossover potential, and routine roll maintenance further shape these mid-range probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
交易量
$14,593結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Ohio U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling within the margin of error in recent surveys, serves as the primary driver of trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state, the competitive dynamics and economic concerns such as inflation and affordability have sustained elevated engagement across parties. Primary turnout data from May indicated stronger Democratic mobilization and solid Republican base participation, while generational divides and high motivation among voters 50 and older—often exceeding 80 percent intent—support projected totals clustering in the 4.35 million to 4.8 million range. Ongoing voter outreach, independent crossover potential, and routine roll maintenance further shape these mid-range probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,593結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETThe closely contested Ohio U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling within the margin of error in recent surveys, serves as the primary driver of trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state, the competitive dynamics and economic concerns such as inflation and affordability have sustained elevated engagement across parties. Primary turnout data from May indicated stronger Democratic mobilization and solid Republican base participation, while generational divides and high motivation among voters 50 and older—often exceeding 80 percent intent—support projected totals clustering in the 4.35 million to 4.8 million range. Ongoing voter outreach, independent crossover potential, and routine roll maintenance further shape these mid-range probabilities ahead of the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions