The Texas Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested at roughly even odds because both nominees have largely unified their parties while splitting independents and key demographic blocs. Recent polling averages hover near a tie, reflecting Paxton's primary victory over longtime Senator John Cornyn and subsequent base consolidation offset by his past legal issues and personal controversies, contrasted with Talarico's strong favorability ratings, substantial fundraising edge, and gains among Hispanic voters and women. Developments that could widen the margin include shifts in independent turnout, further consolidation of Republican support through high-profile campaigning, sustained Democratic momentum on economic messaging, or late-cycle national political trends affecting midterm participation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,041,939 交易量
$1,041,939 交易量
2026-11-02
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）
51%
肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）
51%
$1,041,939 交易量
$1,041,939 交易量
2026-11-02
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）
$477,681 交易量
51%
肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）
$564,258 交易量
51%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested at roughly even odds because both nominees have largely unified their parties while splitting independents and key demographic blocs. Recent polling averages hover near a tie, reflecting Paxton's primary victory over longtime Senator John Cornyn and subsequent base consolidation offset by his past legal issues and personal controversies, contrasted with Talarico's strong favorability ratings, substantial fundraising edge, and gains among Hispanic voters and women. Developments that could widen the margin include shifts in independent turnout, further consolidation of Republican support through high-profile campaigning, sustained Democratic momentum on economic messaging, or late-cycle national political trends affecting midterm participation.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,041,939結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested at roughly even odds because both nominees have largely unified their parties while splitting independents and key demographic blocs. Recent polling averages hover near a tie, reflecting Paxton's primary victory over longtime Senator John Cornyn and subsequent base consolidation offset by his past legal issues and personal controversies, contrasted with Talarico's strong favorability ratings, substantial fundraising edge, and gains among Hispanic voters and women. Developments that could widen the margin include shifts in independent turnout, further consolidation of Republican support through high-profile campaigning, sustained Democratic momentum on economic messaging, or late-cycle national political trends affecting midterm participation.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,041,939結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETThe Texas Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested at roughly even odds because both nominees have largely unified their parties while splitting independents and key demographic blocs. Recent polling averages hover near a tie, reflecting Paxton's primary victory over longtime Senator John Cornyn and subsequent base consolidation offset by his past legal issues and personal controversies, contrasted with Talarico's strong favorability ratings, substantial fundraising edge, and gains among Hispanic voters and women. Developments that could widen the margin include shifts in independent turnout, further consolidation of Republican support through high-profile campaigning, sustained Democratic momentum on economic messaging, or late-cycle national political trends affecting midterm participation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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