Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, driven by business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, has lifted market-implied odds for September toward the mid-54 to mid-55 range amid resilient consumer spending and summer seasonality. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring that could cap upside. Traders weigh sustained demand momentum against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, with key swing factors including labor market data and input cost trends ahead of the October 5 release. This closely contested pricing underscores uncertainty between expansion continuity and normalization.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於54.0到54.9 33%
55.0 到 55.9 23%
57.0 到 57.9 21.1%
53.0至53.9 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
低於51.0
1%
51.0至51.9
1%
52.0 到 52.9
9%
53.0至53.9
11%
54.0到54.9
33%
55.0 到 55.9
23%
56.0至56.9
10%
57.0 到 57.9
21%
58.0至58.9
9%
59.0以上
8%
54.0到54.9 33%
55.0 到 55.9 23%
57.0 到 57.9 21.1%
53.0至53.9 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
低於51.0
$832 交易量
1%
51.0至51.9
$127 交易量
1%
52.0 到 52.9
$127 交易量
9%
53.0至53.9
$370 交易量
11%
54.0到54.9
$3,857 交易量
33%
55.0 到 55.9
$168 交易量
23%
56.0至56.9
$670 交易量
10%
57.0 到 57.9
$1,917 交易量
21%
58.0至58.9
$139 交易量
9%
59.0以上
$168 交易量
8%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, driven by business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, has lifted market-implied odds for September toward the mid-54 to mid-55 range amid resilient consumer spending and summer seasonality. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring that could cap upside. Traders weigh sustained demand momentum against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, with key swing factors including labor market data and input cost trends ahead of the October 5 release. This closely contested pricing underscores uncertainty between expansion continuity and normalization.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$8,375結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, driven by business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, has lifted market-implied odds for September toward the mid-54 to mid-55 range amid resilient consumer spending and summer seasonality. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring that could cap upside. Traders weigh sustained demand momentum against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, with key swing factors including labor market data and input cost trends ahead of the October 5 release. This closely contested pricing underscores uncertainty between expansion continuity and normalization.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$8,375結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETRecent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, driven by business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, has lifted market-implied odds for September toward the mid-54 to mid-55 range amid resilient consumer spending and summer seasonality. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring that could cap upside. Traders weigh sustained demand momentum against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, with key swing factors including labor market data and input cost trends ahead of the October 5 release. This closely contested pricing underscores uncertainty between expansion continuity and normalization.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions