US sanctions enforcement and related economic measures remain the dominant influence on USD/IRR pricing expectations through year-end. Intensified restrictions under the Treasury’s Operation Economic Outcast, expanded sectoral designations, and secondary sanctions targeting oil shipments and banking channels have curtailed Iranian export revenues and access to foreign currency since late summer. These steps followed the revocation of temporary June waivers that briefly supported higher oil sales. Persistent high domestic inflation, reduced trade volumes, and limited diplomatic progress keep pressure on the rial, aligning trader consensus around the 2.0–3.0 million range that matches recent free-market levels. Any sustained de-escalation in sanctions or renewed export access could shift probabilities, though no such developments are currently scheduled within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2,000,000 - 2,500,000 32%
250萬 - 300萬 29%
低於200萬 14%
300萬 - 350萬 10%
$22,469 交易量
$22,469 交易量
2026-12-31
低於200萬
14%
2,000,000 - 2,500,000
32%
250萬 - 300萬
29%
300萬 - 350萬
10%
350萬 - 400萬
4%
400萬以上
4%
2,000,000 - 2,500,000 32%
250萬 - 300萬 29%
低於200萬 14%
300萬 - 350萬 10%
$22,469 交易量
$22,469 交易量
2026-12-31
低於200萬
$6,607 交易量
14%
2,000,000 - 2,500,000
$6,737 交易量
32%
250萬 - 300萬
$3,171 交易量
29%
300萬 - 350萬
$3,599 交易量
10%
350萬 - 400萬
$1,725 交易量
4%
400萬以上
$631 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.US sanctions enforcement and related economic measures remain the dominant influence on USD/IRR pricing expectations through year-end. Intensified restrictions under the Treasury’s Operation Economic Outcast, expanded sectoral designations, and secondary sanctions targeting oil shipments and banking channels have curtailed Iranian export revenues and access to foreign currency since late summer. These steps followed the revocation of temporary June waivers that briefly supported higher oil sales. Persistent high domestic inflation, reduced trade volumes, and limited diplomatic progress keep pressure on the rial, aligning trader consensus around the 2.0–3.0 million range that matches recent free-market levels. Any sustained de-escalation in sanctions or renewed export access could shift probabilities, though no such developments are currently scheduled within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$22,469結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.US sanctions enforcement and related economic measures remain the dominant influence on USD/IRR pricing expectations through year-end. Intensified restrictions under the Treasury’s Operation Economic Outcast, expanded sectoral designations, and secondary sanctions targeting oil shipments and banking channels have curtailed Iranian export revenues and access to foreign currency since late summer. These steps followed the revocation of temporary June waivers that briefly supported higher oil sales. Persistent high domestic inflation, reduced trade volumes, and limited diplomatic progress keep pressure on the rial, aligning trader consensus around the 2.0–3.0 million range that matches recent free-market levels. Any sustained de-escalation in sanctions or renewed export access could shift probabilities, though no such developments are currently scheduled within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$22,469結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETUS sanctions enforcement and related economic measures remain the dominant influence on USD/IRR pricing expectations through year-end. Intensified restrictions under the Treasury’s Operation Economic Outcast, expanded sectoral designations, and secondary sanctions targeting oil shipments and banking channels have curtailed Iranian export revenues and access to foreign currency since late summer. These steps followed the revocation of temporary June waivers that briefly supported higher oil sales. Persistent high domestic inflation, reduced trade volumes, and limited diplomatic progress keep pressure on the rial, aligning trader consensus around the 2.0–3.0 million range that matches recent free-market levels. Any sustained de-escalation in sanctions or renewed export access could shift probabilities, though no such developments are currently scheduled within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions