Recent Federal Reserve policy tightening, including a September 2026 quarter-point hike amid firmer inflation and labor data, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and pushed 30-year fixed mortgage rates to 6.95% as of September 17 per Freddie Mac, the highest weekly average in over a year. Persistent core inflation near 2.4% alongside energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict have sustained elevated rate expectations, widening the spread over benchmarks to roughly 190-200 basis points. Trader sentiment on whether rates hit any specific 2026 threshold reflects ongoing tension between fiscal deficit pressures, mortgage-backed security demand, and potential year-end data releases that could shift yield curves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於30年期按揭利率會在2026年達到__嗎？
30年期按揭利率會在2026年達到__嗎？
$90,306 交易量
2026-12-30
↑ 7.50%
18%
↑ 7.25%
34%
↑ 7.00%
87%
↓ 6.50%
57%
↓ 6.25%
29%
↓ 6.00%
17%
↓ 5.90%
3%
↓ 5.70%
2%
↓ 5.50%
3%
$90,306 交易量
↑ 7.50%
$74 交易量
18%
↑ 7.25%
$2,235 交易量
34%
↑ 7.00%
$6,288 交易量
87%
↓ 6.50%
$8,524 交易量
57%
↓ 6.25%
$1,083 交易量
29%
↓ 6.00%
$3,421 交易量
17%
↓ 5.90%
$11,491 交易量
3%
↓ 5.70%
$11,967 交易量
2%
↓ 5.50%
$2,759 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent Federal Reserve policy tightening, including a September 2026 quarter-point hike amid firmer inflation and labor data, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and pushed 30-year fixed mortgage rates to 6.95% as of September 17 per Freddie Mac, the highest weekly average in over a year. Persistent core inflation near 2.4% alongside energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict have sustained elevated rate expectations, widening the spread over benchmarks to roughly 190-200 basis points. Trader sentiment on whether rates hit any specific 2026 threshold reflects ongoing tension between fiscal deficit pressures, mortgage-backed security demand, and potential year-end data releases that could shift yield curves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$90,306結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent Federal Reserve policy tightening, including a September 2026 quarter-point hike amid firmer inflation and labor data, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and pushed 30-year fixed mortgage rates to 6.95% as of September 17 per Freddie Mac, the highest weekly average in over a year. Persistent core inflation near 2.4% alongside energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict have sustained elevated rate expectations, widening the spread over benchmarks to roughly 190-200 basis points. Trader sentiment on whether rates hit any specific 2026 threshold reflects ongoing tension between fiscal deficit pressures, mortgage-backed security demand, and potential year-end data releases that could shift yield curves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
交易量
$90,306結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETRecent Federal Reserve policy tightening, including a September 2026 quarter-point hike amid firmer inflation and labor data, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and pushed 30-year fixed mortgage rates to 6.95% as of September 17 per Freddie Mac, the highest weekly average in over a year. Persistent core inflation near 2.4% alongside energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict have sustained elevated rate expectations, widening the spread over benchmarks to roughly 190-200 basis points. Trader sentiment on whether rates hit any specific 2026 threshold reflects ongoing tension between fiscal deficit pressures, mortgage-backed security demand, and potential year-end data releases that could shift yield curves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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