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icon for 最大的公司在2026年12月底？
經濟艙·商務

最大的公司在2026年12月底？

icon for 最大的公司在2026年12月底？
經濟艙·商務

最大的公司在2026年12月底？

9月 30

12月 31

9月 30

12月 31

輝達 74%

蘋果 18.4%

Alphabet 8%

微軟 <1%

Polymarket

$7,415,684 交易量

輝達 74%

蘋果 18.4%

Alphabet 8%

微軟 <1%

Polymarket

$7,415,684 交易量

icon for 輝達

輝達

$1,250,637 交易量

74%

icon for 蘋果

蘋果

$942,114 交易量

18%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$733,269 交易量

8%

icon for 微軟

微軟

$978,541 交易量

<1%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$672,295 交易量

<1%

icon for 特斯拉

特斯拉

$910,251 交易量

<1%

icon for 沙烏地阿美

沙烏地阿美

$949,747 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞馬遜

亞馬遜

$978,832 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead in AI semiconductor demand underpins the 73.5% market-implied odds of it remaining the largest company by market capitalization at year-end 2026. As of mid-September 2026, NVIDIA trades at roughly $5.38 trillion, ahead of Apple at $4.94 trillion and Alphabet at $4.23 trillion, fueled by fiscal Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion (up 106% year-over-year) and robust Data Center growth. Strong analyst targets above $300 per share and guidance for continued capacity-constrained expansion support trader consensus that its valuation edge will hold through December. Apple's 18.4% odds reflect steady services revenue and diversification, while Alphabet's 7.5% share ties to broad AI initiatives, though both trail significantly on current metrics. Other names like Microsoft and SpaceX register below 1% amid wider valuation gaps.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,415,684
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead in AI semiconductor demand underpins the 73.5% market-implied odds of it remaining the largest company by market capitalization at year-end 2026. As of mid-September 2026, NVIDIA trades at roughly $5.38 trillion, ahead of Apple at $4.94 trillion and Alphabet at $4.23 trillion, fueled by fiscal Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion (up 106% year-over-year) and robust Data Center growth. Strong analyst targets above $300 per share and guidance for continued capacity-constrained expansion support trader consensus that its valuation edge will hold through December. Apple's 18.4% odds reflect steady services revenue and diversification, while Alphabet's 7.5% share ties to broad AI initiatives, though both trail significantly on current metrics. Other names like Microsoft and SpaceX register below 1% amid wider valuation gaps.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,415,684
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"最大的公司在2026年12月底？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "輝達" at 74%, followed by "蘋果" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "最大的公司在2026年12月底？" has generated $7.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "最大的公司在2026年12月底？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "最大的公司在2026年12月底？" is "輝達" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘋果" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "最大的公司在2026年12月底？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.