Recent U.S. jobs data showing 162,000 August payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, alongside elevated inflation readings near 3.4-3.7% on CPI and PCE measures, have reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve tightening. Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks emphasizing “work to do” on price stability, combined with Middle East-related energy supply risks and a June dot plot median projecting a 3.8% funds rate by year-end, have shifted trader sentiment. Markets now price roughly 60% odds of a September 25-basis-point hike, supporting the 73.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. The upcoming September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
74% 機率
$8,781,680 交易量
$8,781,680 交易量
2026-12-08
是
74% 機率
$8,781,680 交易量
$8,781,680 交易量
2026-12-08
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. jobs data showing 162,000 August payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, alongside elevated inflation readings near 3.4-3.7% on CPI and PCE measures, have reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve tightening. Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks emphasizing “work to do” on price stability, combined with Middle East-related energy supply risks and a June dot plot median projecting a 3.8% funds rate by year-end, have shifted trader sentiment. Markets now price roughly 60% odds of a September 25-basis-point hike, supporting the 73.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. The upcoming September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$8,781,680結束日期
2026-12-09市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. jobs data showing 162,000 August payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, alongside elevated inflation readings near 3.4-3.7% on CPI and PCE measures, have reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve tightening. Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks emphasizing “work to do” on price stability, combined with Middle East-related energy supply risks and a June dot plot median projecting a 3.8% funds rate by year-end, have shifted trader sentiment. Markets now price roughly 60% odds of a September 25-basis-point hike, supporting the 73.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. The upcoming September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,781,680結束日期
2026-12-09市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETRecent U.S. jobs data showing 162,000 August payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, alongside elevated inflation readings near 3.4-3.7% on CPI and PCE measures, have reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve tightening. Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks emphasizing “work to do” on price stability, combined with Middle East-related energy supply risks and a June dot plot median projecting a 3.8% funds rate by year-end, have shifted trader sentiment. Markets now price roughly 60% odds of a September 25-basis-point hike, supporting the 73.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. The upcoming September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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