Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？
金融·Jerome Powell

2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？

icon for 2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？
金融·Jerome Powell

2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？

9月份10年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？

9月份10年期美國國庫券孳息率有多低？

12月 31

9月份10年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？

9月份10年期美國國庫券孳息率有多低？

12月 31

$336,842 交易量

2026-12-30
Polymarket

$336,842 交易量

Polymarket

5.0%

$95,634 交易量

65%

5.2%

$35,213 交易量

26%

5.5%

$11,616 交易量

14%

5.7%

$4,686 交易量

7%

6.0%

$7,549 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.83-4.85% as of September 9-10, 2026, has climbed on persistent inflation readings with core PCE near 3.3-3.6% and headline figures elevated by energy prices. The Federal Reserve's federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, with the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and fresh CPI/PPI data this week likely to shape near-term expectations amid forecasts of possible policy tightening. Stronger labor market conditions and Treasury supply dynamics have reinforced the higher-for-longer stance, pushing yields toward 2023 highs while markets price in limited easing through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$336,842
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.83-4.85% as of September 9-10, 2026, has climbed on persistent inflation readings with core PCE near 3.3-3.6% and headline figures elevated by energy prices. The Federal Reserve's federal funds rate remains at 3.50-3.75%, with the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and fresh CPI/PPI data this week likely to shape near-term expectations amid forecasts of possible policy tightening. Stronger labor market conditions and Treasury supply dynamics have reinforced the higher-for-longer stance, pushing yields toward 2023 highs while markets price in limited easing through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$336,842
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

相關

icon for 10年期美國國債收益率會在2027年前跌破3.9%嗎？

10年期美國國債收益率會在2027年前跌破3.9%嗎？

9%
是
icon for 10年期美國國債收益率會在9月份跌破4.76%嗎？

10年期美國國債收益率會在9月份跌破4.76%嗎？

53%
是
icon for 30年期美國國債收益率會在2027年前達到5.40%嗎？

30年期美國國債收益率會在2027年前達到5.40%嗎？

72%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4.3%" at 100%, followed by "4.4%" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？" has generated $336.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？" is "4.3%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4.4%" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.