Recent August CPI data showed China's annual inflation accelerating to 0.8 percent from 0.5 percent in July, matching forecasts and lifted by higher global energy and commodity prices tied to Middle East supply risks, alongside seasonal food and travel gains. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose only modestly to 1 percent, reflecting subdued domestic demand, weak consumption, and persistent overcapacity. Analysts anticipate a further moderate uptick for September, though outcomes remain sensitive to energy price trends and any signs of broader recovery in household spending. Trader positioning across the 0.5–1.1 percent range underscores uncertainty ahead of the mid-October release, with global commodity movements and policy support for internal demand as key variables that could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.1%+ 48%
0.7%至0.8% 47%
0.9%至1.0% 47%
0.5%至0.6% 46%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.4%
30%
0.5%至0.6%
46%
0.7%至0.8%
47%
0.9%至1.0%
47%
1.1%+
48%
1.1%+ 48%
0.7%至0.8% 47%
0.9%至1.0% 47%
0.5%至0.6% 46%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.4%
$0 交易量
30%
0.5%至0.6%
$0 交易量
46%
0.7%至0.8%
$0 交易量
47%
0.9%至1.0%
$0 交易量
47%
1.1%+
$0 交易量
48%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showed China's annual inflation accelerating to 0.8 percent from 0.5 percent in July, matching forecasts and lifted by higher global energy and commodity prices tied to Middle East supply risks, alongside seasonal food and travel gains. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose only modestly to 1 percent, reflecting subdued domestic demand, weak consumption, and persistent overcapacity. Analysts anticipate a further moderate uptick for September, though outcomes remain sensitive to energy price trends and any signs of broader recovery in household spending. Trader positioning across the 0.5–1.1 percent range underscores uncertainty ahead of the mid-October release, with global commodity movements and policy support for internal demand as key variables that could shift probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-14市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showed China's annual inflation accelerating to 0.8 percent from 0.5 percent in July, matching forecasts and lifted by higher global energy and commodity prices tied to Middle East supply risks, alongside seasonal food and travel gains. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose only modestly to 1 percent, reflecting subdued domestic demand, weak consumption, and persistent overcapacity. Analysts anticipate a further moderate uptick for September, though outcomes remain sensitive to energy price trends and any signs of broader recovery in household spending. Trader positioning across the 0.5–1.1 percent range underscores uncertainty ahead of the mid-October release, with global commodity movements and policy support for internal demand as key variables that could shift probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-14市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETRecent August CPI data showed China's annual inflation accelerating to 0.8 percent from 0.5 percent in July, matching forecasts and lifted by higher global energy and commodity prices tied to Middle East supply risks, alongside seasonal food and travel gains. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose only modestly to 1 percent, reflecting subdued domestic demand, weak consumption, and persistent overcapacity. Analysts anticipate a further moderate uptick for September, though outcomes remain sensitive to energy price trends and any signs of broader recovery in household spending. Trader positioning across the 0.5–1.1 percent range underscores uncertainty ahead of the mid-October release, with global commodity movements and policy support for internal demand as key variables that could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions