The Bank of Russia’s September 11 decision is expected to hold the key rate at 14.00% after the July 25-basis-point cut, reflecting elevated inflation near 6.3% year-over-year and an upward revision of the 2026 forecast to 6.0–7.0%. Persistent pro-inflationary pressures from more expansionary fiscal policy, recent fuel-price spikes, and still-elevated inflation expectations have prompted a more cautious stance, with officials signaling smoother easing and higher average-rate paths for 2026–2027. Moderate economic growth around 1% and business concerns over potential overheating or cooling have not yet outweighed these risks, keeping the probability of a further reduction low. An increase remains unlikely absent sharp new upside surprises in price data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBank of Russia decision in September?
No Change 90%
Decrease 8%
Increase 2.7%
$343,800 Обс.
$343,800 Обс.
Decrease
8%
No Change
90%
Increase
3%
No Change 90%
Decrease 8%
Increase 2.7%
$343,800 Обс.
$343,800 Обс.
Decrease
8%
No Change
90%
Increase
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia’s September 11 decision is expected to hold the key rate at 14.00% after the July 25-basis-point cut, reflecting elevated inflation near 6.3% year-over-year and an upward revision of the 2026 forecast to 6.0–7.0%. Persistent pro-inflationary pressures from more expansionary fiscal policy, recent fuel-price spikes, and still-elevated inflation expectations have prompted a more cautious stance, with officials signaling smoother easing and higher average-rate paths for 2026–2027. Moderate economic growth around 1% and business concerns over potential overheating or cooling have not yet outweighed these risks, keeping the probability of a further reduction low. An increase remains unlikely absent sharp new upside surprises in price data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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