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Економ·Тарифи Fed

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?

icon for How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
Економ·Тарифи Fed

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?

$12,962 Обс.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$12,962 Обс.

Polymarket

Below 5.24%

$1,069 Обс.

36%

Below 5.21%

$869 Обс.

46%

Below 5.18%

$278 Обс.

26%

Below 5.15%

$2,504 Обс.

10%

Below 5.12%

$3,120 Обс.

6%

Below 5.09%

$964 Обс.

25%

Below 5.05%

$1,879 Обс.

1%

Below 5.00%

$978 Обс.

<1%

Below 4.95%

$1,303 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Treasury supply pressures and a rising term premium have kept the 30-year yield near 5.35% as of September 11, with levels holding close to 19-year highs despite August CPI holding steady at 3.4%. Heavy issuance, a projected $2.1 trillion deficit, and competing corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure have elevated long-end yields independent of near-term inflation prints. Market pricing ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting reflects expectations for a potential policy rate hike, reinforcing higher-for-longer dynamics and limiting downside in long-duration rates. Any relief would likely require clearer signals of reduced fiscal supply or softer labor data to ease term premium demands.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Обсяг
$12,962
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Treasury supply pressures and a rising term premium have kept the 30-year yield near 5.35% as of September 11, with levels holding close to 19-year highs despite August CPI holding steady at 3.4%. Heavy issuance, a projected $2.1 trillion deficit, and competing corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure have elevated long-end yields independent of near-term inflation prints. Market pricing ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting reflects expectations for a potential policy rate hike, reinforcing higher-for-longer dynamics and limiting downside in long-duration rates. Any relief would likely require clearer signals of reduced fiscal supply or softer labor data to ease term premium demands.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Обсяг
$12,962
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Пов'язане

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September?

78%
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Below 5.21%» з 46%, далі «Below 5.24%» з 36%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?» згенерував $13K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 2, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?» — «Below 5.21%» з 46%. Наступний — «Below 5.24%» з 36%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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