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Економ·Тарифи Fed

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?

icon for How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
Економ·Тарифи Fed

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?

$26,031 Обс.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$26,031 Обс.

Polymarket

5.05%

$22 Обс.

68%

5.07%

$1,558 Обс.

28%

5.10%

$698 Обс.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Strong U.S. economic data and hawkish Federal Reserve signals have driven the 5-year Treasury yield sharply higher in September, recently reaching 5.03% after a weak $70 billion auction on September 23. September PMI readings showed services activity at 58.7 and manufacturing at 56.7, the strongest levels in years, reinforcing resilient growth and prompting traders to price in additional rate hikes. Comments from Governor Michael Barr and New York Fed President John Williams on the need for further policy tightening to address persistent inflation have amplified the move, alongside elevated oil prices. The effective federal funds rate now sits at 3.75-4.00% following the latest increase. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus backed by real capital that near-term yields could test or exceed recent highs before month-end, with upcoming economic releases and any FOMC communications serving as key swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Обсяг
$26,031
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070be91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Strong U.S. economic data and hawkish Federal Reserve signals have driven the 5-year Treasury yield sharply higher in September, recently reaching 5.03% after a weak $70 billion auction on September 23. September PMI readings showed services activity at 58.7 and manufacturing at 56.7, the strongest levels in years, reinforcing resilient growth and prompting traders to price in additional rate hikes. Comments from Governor Michael Barr and New York Fed President John Williams on the need for further policy tightening to address persistent inflation have amplified the move, alongside elevated oil prices. The effective federal funds rate now sits at 3.75-4.00% following the latest increase. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus backed by real capital that near-term yields could test or exceed recent highs before month-end, with upcoming economic releases and any FOMC communications serving as key swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Обсяг
$26,031
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070be91...

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «4.58%» з 100%, далі «4.61%» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?» згенерував $26K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 2, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?» — «4.58%» з 100%. Наступний — «4.61%» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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