**Trader consensus assigns a 70% probability to the USD/IRR free-market rate closing September 2026 in the 2.2–2.5 million range, with the next bracket (2.5–2.8 million) at 18.5%.** As of September 20, street rates stand near 2.31 million rials per dollar, inside the leading interval after months of depreciation driven by tightened sanctions, sharply reduced oil exports, and elevated domestic inflation that sustains demand for hard currency. Official rates remain far lower (around 1.67 million), widening the parallel-market premium. Recent movement has been incremental rather than explosive, with the rial crossing successive psychological thresholds earlier in the summer and early fall but showing relative stability in the immediate pre-September window. Short remaining time to month-end, absent a sudden escalation in external pressure or major policy shift, supports the current pricing as a reflection of observed momentum and limited scope for rapid reversal.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.2 to 2.5M 70%
2.5 to 2.8M 20%
<2.2M 10%
2.8 to 3.1M 3.5%
$30,931 Обс.
$30,931 Обс.
<2.2M
10%
2.2 to 2.5M
70%
2.5 to 2.8M
20%
2.8 to 3.1M
3%
3.1M+
1%
2.2 to 2.5M 70%
2.5 to 2.8M 20%
<2.2M 10%
2.8 to 3.1M 3.5%
$30,931 Обс.
$30,931 Обс.
<2.2M
10%
2.2 to 2.5M
70%
2.5 to 2.8M
20%
2.8 to 3.1M
3%
3.1M+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus assigns a 70% probability to the USD/IRR free-market rate closing September 2026 in the 2.2–2.5 million range, with the next bracket (2.5–2.8 million) at 18.5%.** As of September 20, street rates stand near 2.31 million rials per dollar, inside the leading interval after months of depreciation driven by tightened sanctions, sharply reduced oil exports, and elevated domestic inflation that sustains demand for hard currency. Official rates remain far lower (around 1.67 million), widening the parallel-market premium. Recent movement has been incremental rather than explosive, with the rial crossing successive psychological thresholds earlier in the summer and early fall but showing relative stability in the immediate pre-September window. Short remaining time to month-end, absent a sudden escalation in external pressure or major policy shift, supports the current pricing as a reflection of observed momentum and limited scope for rapid reversal.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання