Chuck Gray secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s at-large House seat after winning a crowded August 2026 primary with 25 percent of the vote against eight rivals, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent Harriet Hageman. The state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent presidential elections and the absence of any Democratic statewide victory in more than three decades, underpins trader consensus around Gray’s commanding lead. Democrat Lisa Kinney, who easily won her party’s primary, faces structural barriers in this solidly Republican district rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to unforeseen late developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or major scandals before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWY-AL House Election Winner
WY-AL House Election Winner
$44,302 ปริมาณ
$44,302 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chuck Gray (R)
98%
Lisa Kinney (D)
<1%
$44,302 ปริมาณ
$44,302 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chuck Gray (R)
$20,334 ปริมาณ
98%
Lisa Kinney (D)
$23,968 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chuck Gray secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s at-large House seat after winning a crowded August 2026 primary with 25 percent of the vote against eight rivals, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent Harriet Hageman. The state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent presidential elections and the absence of any Democratic statewide victory in more than three decades, underpins trader consensus around Gray’s commanding lead. Democrat Lisa Kinney, who easily won her party’s primary, faces structural barriers in this solidly Republican district rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to unforeseen late developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or major scandals before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,302วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chuck Gray secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s at-large House seat after winning a crowded August 2026 primary with 25 percent of the vote against eight rivals, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent Harriet Hageman. The state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent presidential elections and the absence of any Democratic statewide victory in more than three decades, underpins trader consensus around Gray’s commanding lead. Democrat Lisa Kinney, who easily won her party’s primary, faces structural barriers in this solidly Republican district rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to unforeseen late developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or major scandals before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,302วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Chuck Gray secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s at-large House seat after winning a crowded August 2026 primary with 25 percent of the vote against eight rivals, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent Harriet Hageman. The state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent presidential elections and the absence of any Democratic statewide victory in more than three decades, underpins trader consensus around Gray’s commanding lead. Democrat Lisa Kinney, who easily won her party’s primary, faces structural barriers in this solidly Republican district rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to unforeseen late developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or major scandals before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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