Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election with strong primary consolidation after securing over 90% of the Republican vote in August, reflecting unified party support in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District. The seat’s Republican lean, demonstrated by Finstad’s 17-point margin in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6, underpins trader consensus favoring his reelection. Democratic nominee Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher and first-time candidate, has matched Finstad’s fundraising near $2 million and drawn a notable endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2016. Recent polling averages project a Republican margin in the mid-single to low-double digits, consistent with the current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$42,087 ปริมาณ
$42,087 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
81%
Jake Johnson (D)
16%
$42,087 ปริมาณ
$42,087 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
$15,930 ปริมาณ
81%
Jake Johnson (D)
$26,157 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election with strong primary consolidation after securing over 90% of the Republican vote in August, reflecting unified party support in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District. The seat’s Republican lean, demonstrated by Finstad’s 17-point margin in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6, underpins trader consensus favoring his reelection. Democratic nominee Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher and first-time candidate, has matched Finstad’s fundraising near $2 million and drawn a notable endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2016. Recent polling averages project a Republican margin in the mid-single to low-double digits, consistent with the current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,087วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election with strong primary consolidation after securing over 90% of the Republican vote in August, reflecting unified party support in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District. The seat’s Republican lean, demonstrated by Finstad’s 17-point margin in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6, underpins trader consensus favoring his reelection. Democratic nominee Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher and first-time candidate, has matched Finstad’s fundraising near $2 million and drawn a notable endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2016. Recent polling averages project a Republican margin in the mid-single to low-double digits, consistent with the current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,087วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election with strong primary consolidation after securing over 90% of the Republican vote in August, reflecting unified party support in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District. The seat’s Republican lean, demonstrated by Finstad’s 17-point margin in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6, underpins trader consensus favoring his reelection. Democratic nominee Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher and first-time candidate, has matched Finstad’s fundraising near $2 million and drawn a notable endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2016. Recent polling averages project a Republican margin in the mid-single to low-double digits, consistent with the current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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