Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from his long incumbency since 2003, chairmanship of the House Appropriations Committee, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters. He secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote against a challenger, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced from a competitive primary but operates in an R+17 partisan environment with limited fundraising. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though late-cycle developments such as a national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or health event for the incumbent could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOK-04 House Election Winner
OK-04 House Election Winner
$27,515 ปริมาณ
$27,515 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cole (R)
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
6%
$27,515 ปริมาณ
$27,515 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cole (R)
$15,664 ปริมาณ
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
$11,851 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from his long incumbency since 2003, chairmanship of the House Appropriations Committee, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters. He secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote against a challenger, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced from a competitive primary but operates in an R+17 partisan environment with limited fundraising. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though late-cycle developments such as a national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or health event for the incumbent could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,515วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from his long incumbency since 2003, chairmanship of the House Appropriations Committee, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters. He secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote against a challenger, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced from a competitive primary but operates in an R+17 partisan environment with limited fundraising. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though late-cycle developments such as a national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or health event for the incumbent could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,515วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from his long incumbency since 2003, chairmanship of the House Appropriations Committee, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters. He secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote against a challenger, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced from a competitive primary but operates in an R+17 partisan environment with limited fundraising. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though late-cycle developments such as a national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or health event for the incumbent could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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