Vaimauga 3's by-election on 18 September features a fragmented field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Nonu Laulu William Mauia of FAST at 43% and other named contenders trailing amid dozens of options priced near even odds. The contest follows the Electoral Court's June ruling voiding Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai's May victory on bribery findings against both him and the petitioner, Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu, marking the third poll in the constituency in under 18 months after party-hopping and earlier by-elections. HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo and FAST's Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni join additional independents and minor candidates, splitting voter bases across local issues such as infrastructure, service delivery, and constituency development. Pre-polling begins in days, leaving limited time for any single contender to consolidate support or shift the current balance reflected in market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 45%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 19%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 7.0%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
45%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
19%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
11%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 45%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 19%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 7.0%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
45%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
19%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
11%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Vaimauga 3's by-election on 18 September features a fragmented field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Nonu Laulu William Mauia of FAST at 43% and other named contenders trailing amid dozens of options priced near even odds. The contest follows the Electoral Court's June ruling voiding Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai's May victory on bribery findings against both him and the petitioner, Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu, marking the third poll in the constituency in under 18 months after party-hopping and earlier by-elections. HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo and FAST's Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni join additional independents and minor candidates, splitting voter bases across local issues such as infrastructure, service delivery, and constituency development. Pre-polling begins in days, leaving limited time for any single contender to consolidate support or shift the current balance reflected in market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
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