**Recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at roughly 7–9 seats, consistent with its historical 5.9% share in 2022 and typical performance among Ashkenazi Haredi voters.** This underpins the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. UTJ’s tightly organized base and high turnout sustain its position, even amid coalition tensions over military draft exemptions and internal candidate-list negotiations that produced a unified slate. Recent surveys from multiple houses show minimal movement in its projected seat totals, reflecting stable support within its core electorate rather than broader swings tied to Likud or opposition dynamics. The 5–6% and 7–8% bands capture the normal polling variance, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given consistent data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6-7% 61%
5-6% 39%
7-8% 24%
<5% 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
11%
5-6%
24%
6-7%
61%
7-8%
24%
8%+
2%
6-7% 61%
5-6% 39%
7-8% 24%
<5% 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
$313 ปริมาณ
11%
5-6%
$204 ปริมาณ
24%
6-7%
$160 ปริมาณ
61%
7-8%
$174 ปริมาณ
24%
8%+
$290 ปริมาณ
2%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at roughly 7–9 seats, consistent with its historical 5.9% share in 2022 and typical performance among Ashkenazi Haredi voters.**
This underpins the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. UTJ’s tightly organized base and high turnout sustain its position, even amid coalition tensions over military draft exemptions and internal candidate-list negotiations that produced a unified slate. Recent surveys from multiple houses show minimal movement in its projected seat totals, reflecting stable support within its core electorate rather than broader swings tied to Likud or opposition dynamics. The 5–6% and 7–8% bands capture the normal polling variance, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given consistent data.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,142วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at roughly 7–9 seats, consistent with its historical 5.9% share in 2022 and typical performance among Ashkenazi Haredi voters.**
This underpins the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. UTJ’s tightly organized base and high turnout sustain its position, even amid coalition tensions over military draft exemptions and internal candidate-list negotiations that produced a unified slate. Recent surveys from multiple houses show minimal movement in its projected seat totals, reflecting stable support within its core electorate rather than broader swings tied to Likud or opposition dynamics. The 5–6% and 7–8% bands capture the normal polling variance, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given consistent data.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,142วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at roughly 7–9 seats, consistent with its historical 5.9% share in 2022 and typical performance among Ashkenazi Haredi voters.** This underpins the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. UTJ’s tightly organized base and high turnout sustain its position, even amid coalition tensions over military draft exemptions and internal candidate-list negotiations that produced a unified slate. Recent surveys from multiple houses show minimal movement in its projected seat totals, reflecting stable support within its core electorate rather than broader swings tied to Likud or opposition dynamics. The 5–6% and 7–8% bands capture the normal polling variance, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given consistent data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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