**Amcha Yisrael, the right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, has shown volatile polling since submitting its candidate list in early September ahead of the October 27 Knesset election.** Recent surveys place its support near or just above the 3.25% electoral threshold, with results ranging from 2.1% (below threshold) in one Channel 14 poll to roughly 3.5% (four seats) in i24NEWS/Direct Polls and Walla/Lazar surveys. Traders appear to weigh the party’s independent run—after failed merger talks with Religious Zionism-Zehut—against competition for right-wing votes and the typical uncertainty for new lists. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could still shift its position before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3.25-4% 29%
4-5% 29%
<2.5% 28%
5%+ 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<2.5%
47%
2.5-3.25%
26%
3.25-4%
29%
4-5%
29%
5%+
27%
3.25-4% 29%
4-5% 29%
<2.5% 28%
5%+ 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<2.5%
$20 ปริมาณ
47%
2.5-3.25%
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
3.25-4%
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
4-5%
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
5%+
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Amcha Yisrael, the right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, has shown volatile polling since submitting its candidate list in early September ahead of the October 27 Knesset election.** Recent surveys place its support near or just above the 3.25% electoral threshold, with results ranging from 2.1% (below threshold) in one Channel 14 poll to roughly 3.5% (four seats) in i24NEWS/Direct Polls and Walla/Lazar surveys. Traders appear to weigh the party’s independent run—after failed merger talks with Religious Zionism-Zehut—against competition for right-wing votes and the typical uncertainty for new lists. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could still shift its position before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Amcha Yisrael, the right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, has shown volatile polling since submitting its candidate list in early September ahead of the October 27 Knesset election.** Recent surveys place its support near or just above the 3.25% electoral threshold, with results ranging from 2.1% (below threshold) in one Channel 14 poll to roughly 3.5% (four seats) in i24NEWS/Direct Polls and Walla/Lazar surveys. Traders appear to weigh the party’s independent run—after failed merger talks with Religious Zionism-Zehut—against competition for right-wing votes and the typical uncertainty for new lists. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could still shift its position before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Amcha Yisrael, the right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, has shown volatile polling since submitting its candidate list in early September ahead of the October 27 Knesset election.** Recent surveys place its support near or just above the 3.25% electoral threshold, with results ranging from 2.1% (below threshold) in one Channel 14 poll to roughly 3.5% (four seats) in i24NEWS/Direct Polls and Walla/Lazar surveys. Traders appear to weigh the party’s independent run—after failed merger talks with Religious Zionism-Zehut—against competition for right-wing votes and the typical uncertainty for new lists. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could still shift its position before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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