Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the Sweden Democrats maintaining a clear lead over the Moderate Party for second place, with SD consistently around 19-20% and Moderates near 17%. This positioning reflects SD’s stable voter base as the primary right-wing populist option and its role supporting the Tidö government, while Moderates trail within the same bloc. The centre-left opposition bloc holds a narrow overall edge, but individual party trends have not altered SD’s ranking. Late gains by the Liberals above the 4% threshold have tightened the bloc contest without shifting second-place dynamics. Traders assign SD an 81% implied probability for second place, consistent with the latest Novus and aggregated survey data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSweden Democrats (SD) 81%
Moderate Party (M) 20%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$149,278 ปริมาณ
$149,278 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
81%
Moderate Party (M)
20%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 81%
Moderate Party (M) 20%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$149,278 ปริมาณ
$149,278 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$21,547 ปริมาณ
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$61,527 ปริมาณ
81%
Moderate Party (M)
$50,890 ปริมาณ
20%
Centre Party (C)
$2,242 ปริมาณ
<1%
Left Party (V)
$5,350 ปริมาณ
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,352 ปริมาณ
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$1,781 ปริมาณ
<1%
Liberals (L)
$1,901 ปริมาณ
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,689 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the Sweden Democrats maintaining a clear lead over the Moderate Party for second place, with SD consistently around 19-20% and Moderates near 17%. This positioning reflects SD’s stable voter base as the primary right-wing populist option and its role supporting the Tidö government, while Moderates trail within the same bloc. The centre-left opposition bloc holds a narrow overall edge, but individual party trends have not altered SD’s ranking. Late gains by the Liberals above the 4% threshold have tightened the bloc contest without shifting second-place dynamics. Traders assign SD an 81% implied probability for second place, consistent with the latest Novus and aggregated survey data.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$149,278วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the Sweden Democrats maintaining a clear lead over the Moderate Party for second place, with SD consistently around 19-20% and Moderates near 17%. This positioning reflects SD’s stable voter base as the primary right-wing populist option and its role supporting the Tidö government, while Moderates trail within the same bloc. The centre-left opposition bloc holds a narrow overall edge, but individual party trends have not altered SD’s ranking. Late gains by the Liberals above the 4% threshold have tightened the bloc contest without shifting second-place dynamics. Traders assign SD an 81% implied probability for second place, consistent with the latest Novus and aggregated survey data.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$149,278วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the Sweden Democrats maintaining a clear lead over the Moderate Party for second place, with SD consistently around 19-20% and Moderates near 17%. This positioning reflects SD’s stable voter base as the primary right-wing populist option and its role supporting the Tidö government, while Moderates trail within the same bloc. The centre-left opposition bloc holds a narrow overall edge, but individual party trends have not altered SD’s ranking. Late gains by the Liberals above the 4% threshold have tightened the bloc contest without shifting second-place dynamics. Traders assign SD an 81% implied probability for second place, consistent with the latest Novus and aggregated survey data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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