Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 4–6 seats, aligning with the market’s tightest bins around 4–5.5% of the national vote ahead of the October 27 election. The party’s independent run, bolstered by its technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz, aims to expand beyond its traditional base while a surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List seeks to minimize wasted votes. Persistent right-wing petitions to disqualify Arab lists before the September 27 Central Elections Committee deadline add uncertainty, though such bids have historically faced court reversal. Fragmented Arab turnout, competition from the Joint List, and broader coalition dynamics that hinge on Arab-party support keep vote-share outcomes closely matched in trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4-4.75% 40%
4.75-5.5% 19%
3.25-4% 18%
<3.25% 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
15%
3.25-4%
19%
4-4.75%
37%
4.75-5.5%
20%
5.5%+
12%
4-4.75% 40%
4.75-5.5% 19%
3.25-4% 18%
<3.25% 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
$344 ปริมาณ
15%
3.25-4%
$293 ปริมาณ
19%
4-4.75%
$1,073 ปริมาณ
37%
4.75-5.5%
$207 ปริมาณ
20%
5.5%+
$191 ปริมาณ
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 4–6 seats, aligning with the market’s tightest bins around 4–5.5% of the national vote ahead of the October 27 election. The party’s independent run, bolstered by its technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz, aims to expand beyond its traditional base while a surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List seeks to minimize wasted votes. Persistent right-wing petitions to disqualify Arab lists before the September 27 Central Elections Committee deadline add uncertainty, though such bids have historically faced court reversal. Fragmented Arab turnout, competition from the Joint List, and broader coalition dynamics that hinge on Arab-party support keep vote-share outcomes closely matched in trader assessments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,109วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 4–6 seats, aligning with the market’s tightest bins around 4–5.5% of the national vote ahead of the October 27 election. The party’s independent run, bolstered by its technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz, aims to expand beyond its traditional base while a surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List seeks to minimize wasted votes. Persistent right-wing petitions to disqualify Arab lists before the September 27 Central Elections Committee deadline add uncertainty, though such bids have historically faced court reversal. Fragmented Arab turnout, competition from the Joint List, and broader coalition dynamics that hinge on Arab-party support keep vote-share outcomes closely matched in trader assessments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,109วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 4–6 seats, aligning with the market’s tightest bins around 4–5.5% of the national vote ahead of the October 27 election. The party’s independent run, bolstered by its technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz, aims to expand beyond its traditional base while a surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List seeks to minimize wasted votes. Persistent right-wing petitions to disqualify Arab lists before the September 27 Central Elections Committee deadline add uncertainty, though such bids have historically faced court reversal. Fragmented Arab turnout, competition from the Joint List, and broader coalition dynamics that hinge on Arab-party support keep vote-share outcomes closely matched in trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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