Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party, led by Yoaz Hendel and economist Yaron Zelekha, fluctuating between roughly 2% and 4% after their September alliance following the split from Hili Tropper’s Zionist Home group. This places the list near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold required for Knesset seats, with surveys from Channel 12, Maariv, and others alternately showing it clearing or falling short amid competition from parties like Amcha Yisrael and Yashar for reservist and center-right support. The party’s platform emphasizing universal conscription and economic reforms has yet to consolidate a stable base, while broader bloc dynamics and undecided voters contribute to volatility. Small shifts in turnout or final-week momentum could determine whether the list secures representation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<2.75% 44%
2.75-3.25% 26%
4.25%+ 12%
3.75-4.25% 10%
<2.75%
38%
2.75-3.25%
27%
3.25-3.75%
5%
3.75-4.25%
10%
4.25%+
12%
<2.75% 44%
2.75-3.25% 26%
4.25%+ 12%
3.75-4.25% 10%
<2.75%
38%
2.75-3.25%
27%
3.25-3.75%
5%
3.75-4.25%
10%
4.25%+
12%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party, led by Yoaz Hendel and economist Yaron Zelekha, fluctuating between roughly 2% and 4% after their September alliance following the split from Hili Tropper’s Zionist Home group. This places the list near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold required for Knesset seats, with surveys from Channel 12, Maariv, and others alternately showing it clearing or falling short amid competition from parties like Amcha Yisrael and Yashar for reservist and center-right support. The party’s platform emphasizing universal conscription and economic reforms has yet to consolidate a stable base, while broader bloc dynamics and undecided voters contribute to volatility. Small shifts in turnout or final-week momentum could determine whether the list secures representation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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