Recent polling averages position National and Labour as the clear frontrunners for first and second place ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT competing for third under New Zealand’s MMP system. New Zealand First’s consistent 8–11% support, reinforced by its governing coalition role and recent immigration policy announcements, drives trader consensus toward a third-place finish. The Greens’ recent gains to 12–14% in some surveys keep them competitive but behind in aggregate trends, while ACT’s rise to around 10% narrows the gap without overtaking. Minor parties like Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunity Party remain below thresholds that would alter the ordering. These dynamics reflect the latest multi-poll aggregates rather than any single survey fluctuation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 52%
Green Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 3.0%
National Party 2.8%
$15,189 ปริมาณ
$15,189 ปริมาณ
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
52%
Green Party
40%
ACT New Zealand
3%
National Party
3%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 52%
Green Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 3.0%
National Party 2.8%
$15,189 ปริมาณ
$15,189 ปริมาณ
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$5,447 ปริมาณ
52%
Green Party
$6,195 ปริมาณ
40%
ACT New Zealand
$862 ปริมาณ
3%
National Party
$564 ปริมาณ
3%
Te Pāti Māori
$915 ปริมาณ
<1%
Labour Party
$1,206 ปริมาณ
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages position National and Labour as the clear frontrunners for first and second place ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT competing for third under New Zealand’s MMP system. New Zealand First’s consistent 8–11% support, reinforced by its governing coalition role and recent immigration policy announcements, drives trader consensus toward a third-place finish. The Greens’ recent gains to 12–14% in some surveys keep them competitive but behind in aggregate trends, while ACT’s rise to around 10% narrows the gap without overtaking. Minor parties like Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunity Party remain below thresholds that would alter the ordering. These dynamics reflect the latest multi-poll aggregates rather than any single survey fluctuation.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,189วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages position National and Labour as the clear frontrunners for first and second place ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT competing for third under New Zealand’s MMP system. New Zealand First’s consistent 8–11% support, reinforced by its governing coalition role and recent immigration policy announcements, drives trader consensus toward a third-place finish. The Greens’ recent gains to 12–14% in some surveys keep them competitive but behind in aggregate trends, while ACT’s rise to around 10% narrows the gap without overtaking. Minor parties like Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunity Party remain below thresholds that would alter the ordering. These dynamics reflect the latest multi-poll aggregates rather than any single survey fluctuation.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,189วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position National and Labour as the clear frontrunners for first and second place ahead of the November 7 election, leaving New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT competing for third under New Zealand’s MMP system. New Zealand First’s consistent 8–11% support, reinforced by its governing coalition role and recent immigration policy announcements, drives trader consensus toward a third-place finish. The Greens’ recent gains to 12–14% in some surveys keep them competitive but behind in aggregate trends, while ACT’s rise to around 10% narrows the gap without overtaking. Minor parties like Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunity Party remain below thresholds that would alter the ordering. These dynamics reflect the latest multi-poll aggregates rather than any single survey fluctuation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37%
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