Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically registering 0.2–1.4% amid widespread defections of lawmakers to larger centrist lists such as Yashar and B'Yachad. Candidate-list submissions closed on September 8 with the party running independently after merger talks collapsed, leaving it vulnerable to vote fragmentation in the center and right-leaning opposition. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects these structural pressures and limited base mobilization, though the narrow spread between leading buckets captures uncertainty from high undecided shares and potential late shifts in turnout or residual support before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<0.75% 38%
0.75-1.25% 30%
3.25%+ 19%
2-3.25% 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
38%
0.75-1.25%
30%
1.25-2%
5%
2-3.25%
16%
3.25%+
19%
<0.75% 38%
0.75-1.25% 30%
3.25%+ 19%
2-3.25% 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
$34 ปริมาณ
38%
0.75-1.25%
$33 ปริมาณ
30%
1.25-2%
$15 ปริมาณ
5%
2-3.25%
$15 ปริมาณ
16%
3.25%+
$170 ปริมาณ
19%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically registering 0.2–1.4% amid widespread defections of lawmakers to larger centrist lists such as Yashar and B'Yachad. Candidate-list submissions closed on September 8 with the party running independently after merger talks collapsed, leaving it vulnerable to vote fragmentation in the center and right-leaning opposition. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects these structural pressures and limited base mobilization, though the narrow spread between leading buckets captures uncertainty from high undecided shares and potential late shifts in turnout or residual support before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$267วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically registering 0.2–1.4% amid widespread defections of lawmakers to larger centrist lists such as Yashar and B'Yachad. Candidate-list submissions closed on September 8 with the party running independently after merger talks collapsed, leaving it vulnerable to vote fragmentation in the center and right-leaning opposition. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects these structural pressures and limited base mobilization, though the narrow spread between leading buckets captures uncertainty from high undecided shares and potential late shifts in turnout or residual support before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$267วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically registering 0.2–1.4% amid widespread defections of lawmakers to larger centrist lists such as Yashar and B'Yachad. Candidate-list submissions closed on September 8 with the party running independently after merger talks collapsed, leaving it vulnerable to vote fragmentation in the center and right-leaning opposition. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects these structural pressures and limited base mobilization, though the narrow spread between leading buckets captures uncertainty from high undecided shares and potential late shifts in turnout or residual support before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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