Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages heading into the final weeks. Recent Quaest surveys from early September show her at 43% against João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, within the 3-point margin of error but sufficient for a projected first-round victory on valid votes. Her 68% government approval rating and broader municipal alliances across 139 cities bolster her position, while Campos benefits from PT backing tied to President Lula but trails in spontaneous recall and local support maps. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes register negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way dynamic. Market pricing reflects this incumbency edge and poll stability rather than any late surge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRaquel Lyra 69%
João Campos 32%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$48,698 ปริมาณ
$48,698 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
69%
João Campos
32%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 69%
João Campos 32%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$48,698 ปริมาณ
$48,698 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$22,711 ปริมาณ
69%
João Campos
$20,654 ปริมาณ
32%
Ivan Moraes
$5,333 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages heading into the final weeks. Recent Quaest surveys from early September show her at 43% against João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, within the 3-point margin of error but sufficient for a projected first-round victory on valid votes. Her 68% government approval rating and broader municipal alliances across 139 cities bolster her position, while Campos benefits from PT backing tied to President Lula but trails in spontaneous recall and local support maps. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes register negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way dynamic. Market pricing reflects this incumbency edge and poll stability rather than any late surge.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,698วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages heading into the final weeks. Recent Quaest surveys from early September show her at 43% against João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, within the 3-point margin of error but sufficient for a projected first-round victory on valid votes. Her 68% government approval rating and broader municipal alliances across 139 cities bolster her position, while Campos benefits from PT backing tied to President Lula but trails in spontaneous recall and local support maps. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes register negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way dynamic. Market pricing reflects this incumbency edge and poll stability rather than any late surge.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,698วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages heading into the final weeks. Recent Quaest surveys from early September show her at 43% against João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, within the 3-point margin of error but sufficient for a projected first-round victory on valid votes. Her 68% government approval rating and broader municipal alliances across 139 cities bolster her position, while Campos benefits from PT backing tied to President Lula but trails in spontaneous recall and local support maps. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes register negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way dynamic. Market pricing reflects this incumbency edge and poll stability rather than any late surge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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