Deltan Dallagnol holds a slight edge in trader consensus for first place in Paraná's Senate race amid a crowded field that includes Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, Gleisi Hoffmann, and Cristina Graeml. Recent polling shows Dallagnol pulling ahead with roughly 29% support while the next tier remains within a few points, reflecting high undecided voters and split preferences for the two seats up for grabs. The Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Paraná's 4-3 approval of Dallagnol's candidacy on September 9, after prior ineligibility concerns tied to his 2023 mandate cassation, has stabilized his position, though PT appeals to the TSE could still intervene. This legal uncertainty, combined with ongoing coalition dynamics and limited time before the October vote, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDeltan Dallagnol 50%
Filipe Barros 28%
Alexandre Curi 21%
Gleisi <1%
$46,872 ปริมาณ
$46,872 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
50%
Filipe Barros
28%
Alexandre Curi
21%
Gleisi
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Deltan Dallagnol 50%
Filipe Barros 28%
Alexandre Curi 21%
Gleisi <1%
$46,872 ปริมาณ
$46,872 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
$23,238 ปริมาณ
50%
Filipe Barros
$7,566 ปริมาณ
28%
Alexandre Curi
$10,328 ปริมาณ
21%
Gleisi
$2,069 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$1,019 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$877 ปริมาณ
<1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$618 ปริมาณ
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$553 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Deltan Dallagnol holds a slight edge in trader consensus for first place in Paraná's Senate race amid a crowded field that includes Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, Gleisi Hoffmann, and Cristina Graeml. Recent polling shows Dallagnol pulling ahead with roughly 29% support while the next tier remains within a few points, reflecting high undecided voters and split preferences for the two seats up for grabs. The Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Paraná's 4-3 approval of Dallagnol's candidacy on September 9, after prior ineligibility concerns tied to his 2023 mandate cassation, has stabilized his position, though PT appeals to the TSE could still intervene. This legal uncertainty, combined with ongoing coalition dynamics and limited time before the October vote, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,872วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Deltan Dallagnol holds a slight edge in trader consensus for first place in Paraná's Senate race amid a crowded field that includes Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, Gleisi Hoffmann, and Cristina Graeml. Recent polling shows Dallagnol pulling ahead with roughly 29% support while the next tier remains within a few points, reflecting high undecided voters and split preferences for the two seats up for grabs. The Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Paraná's 4-3 approval of Dallagnol's candidacy on September 9, after prior ineligibility concerns tied to his 2023 mandate cassation, has stabilized his position, though PT appeals to the TSE could still intervene. This legal uncertainty, combined with ongoing coalition dynamics and limited time before the October vote, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,872วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Deltan Dallagnol holds a slight edge in trader consensus for first place in Paraná's Senate race amid a crowded field that includes Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, Gleisi Hoffmann, and Cristina Graeml. Recent polling shows Dallagnol pulling ahead with roughly 29% support while the next tier remains within a few points, reflecting high undecided voters and split preferences for the two seats up for grabs. The Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Paraná's 4-3 approval of Dallagnol's candidacy on September 9, after prior ineligibility concerns tied to his 2023 mandate cassation, has stabilized his position, though PT appeals to the TSE could still intervene. This legal uncertainty, combined with ongoing coalition dynamics and limited time before the October vote, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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