The Santa Catarina Senate race for two seats remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 election, with trader consensus assigning Carlos Bolsonaro the highest implied probability for second place, followed by Carol de Toni and incumbent Esperidião Amin. Recent polls, including the late-August Quaest survey, show the three right-leaning candidates in technical ties for the second vacancy after accounting for first- and second-preference votes, amid elevated undecided and blank responses. Carlos Bolsonaro’s residency transfer to the state and PL ticket placement alongside de Toni disrupted prior alliances, prompting Amin to shift toward a separate coalition while maintaining strong name recognition. Décio Lima trails further back. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among PL supporters or further consolidation on the right could still reorder the final ordering for second place.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSanta Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carlos Bolsonaro 41%
Carol de Toni 32%
Esperidião Amin 22%
Décio Lima 5.3%
$49,696 ปริมาณ
$49,696 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
41%
Carol de Toni
32%
Esperidião Amin
22%
Décio Lima
5%
Carol
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Marcos Dorval
<1%
Marlene Soccas
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
<1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 41%
Carol de Toni 32%
Esperidião Amin 22%
Décio Lima 5.3%
$49,696 ปริมาณ
$49,696 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
$15,106 ปริมาณ
41%
Carol de Toni
$12,795 ปริมาณ
32%
Esperidião Amin
$11,022 ปริมาณ
22%
Décio Lima
$2,539 ปริมาณ
5%
Carol
$1,025 ปริมาณ
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$921 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$550 ปริมาณ
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
$1,498 ปริมาณ
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$942 ปริมาณ
<1%
Lunelli
$1,022 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcos Dorval
$788 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marlene Soccas
$565 ปริมาณ
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$925 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina Senate race for two seats remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 election, with trader consensus assigning Carlos Bolsonaro the highest implied probability for second place, followed by Carol de Toni and incumbent Esperidião Amin. Recent polls, including the late-August Quaest survey, show the three right-leaning candidates in technical ties for the second vacancy after accounting for first- and second-preference votes, amid elevated undecided and blank responses. Carlos Bolsonaro’s residency transfer to the state and PL ticket placement alongside de Toni disrupted prior alliances, prompting Amin to shift toward a separate coalition while maintaining strong name recognition. Décio Lima trails further back. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among PL supporters or further consolidation on the right could still reorder the final ordering for second place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,696วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina Senate race for two seats remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 election, with trader consensus assigning Carlos Bolsonaro the highest implied probability for second place, followed by Carol de Toni and incumbent Esperidião Amin. Recent polls, including the late-August Quaest survey, show the three right-leaning candidates in technical ties for the second vacancy after accounting for first- and second-preference votes, amid elevated undecided and blank responses. Carlos Bolsonaro’s residency transfer to the state and PL ticket placement alongside de Toni disrupted prior alliances, prompting Amin to shift toward a separate coalition while maintaining strong name recognition. Décio Lima trails further back. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among PL supporters or further consolidation on the right could still reorder the final ordering for second place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,696วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina Senate race for two seats remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 election, with trader consensus assigning Carlos Bolsonaro the highest implied probability for second place, followed by Carol de Toni and incumbent Esperidião Amin. Recent polls, including the late-August Quaest survey, show the three right-leaning candidates in technical ties for the second vacancy after accounting for first- and second-preference votes, amid elevated undecided and blank responses. Carlos Bolsonaro’s residency transfer to the state and PL ticket placement alongside de Toni disrupted prior alliances, prompting Amin to shift toward a separate coalition while maintaining strong name recognition. Décio Lima trails further back. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among PL supporters or further consolidation on the right could still reorder the final ordering for second place.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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