Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the race for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow or tied edge for second place over a cluster of rivals including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL). Multiple surveys register high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40 percent combined, sustaining volatility in second-place positioning. The official campaign, underway since mid-August, features limited separation among these contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates. This polling pattern underpins the current trader consensus favoring Crivella for second while assigning lower probabilities to the trailing group.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMarcelo Crivella 56.8%
Benedita da Silva 16%
Carlos Jordy 14%
Pedro Paulo 12.2%
$53,406 ปริมาณ
$53,406 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
57%
Benedita da Silva
16%
Carlos Jordy
14%
Pedro Paulo
12%
Carlos Portinho
4%
Monica Benicio
1%
Waguinho
<1%
Marcos Dias
<1%
Ó Clemente
<1%
André Monteiro
<1%
Helio Secco
<1%
Luciano Mattos
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
Paula Falcão
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
<1%
Marcelo Crivella 56.8%
Benedita da Silva 16%
Carlos Jordy 14%
Pedro Paulo 12.2%
$53,406 ปริมาณ
$53,406 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
$7,811 ปริมาณ
57%
Benedita da Silva
$9,522 ปริมาณ
16%
Carlos Jordy
$11,166 ปริมาณ
14%
Pedro Paulo
$7,807 ปริมาณ
12%
Carlos Portinho
$5,369 ปริมาณ
4%
Monica Benicio
$2,052 ปริมาณ
1%
Waguinho
$1,319 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcos Dias
$896 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ó Clemente
$1,292 ปริมาณ
<1%
André Monteiro
$2,185 ปริมาณ
<1%
Helio Secco
$1,128 ปริมาณ
<1%
Luciano Mattos
$597 ปริมาณ
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$608 ปริมาณ
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$601 ปริมาณ
<1%
Paula Falcão
$520 ปริมาณ
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
$533 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the race for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow or tied edge for second place over a cluster of rivals including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL). Multiple surveys register high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40 percent combined, sustaining volatility in second-place positioning. The official campaign, underway since mid-August, features limited separation among these contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates. This polling pattern underpins the current trader consensus favoring Crivella for second while assigning lower probabilities to the trailing group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,406วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the race for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow or tied edge for second place over a cluster of rivals including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL). Multiple surveys register high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40 percent combined, sustaining volatility in second-place positioning. The official campaign, underway since mid-August, features limited separation among these contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates. This polling pattern underpins the current trader consensus favoring Crivella for second while assigning lower probabilities to the trailing group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,406วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the race for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow or tied edge for second place over a cluster of rivals including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL). Multiple surveys register high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40 percent combined, sustaining volatility in second-place positioning. The official campaign, underway since mid-August, features limited separation among these contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates. This polling pattern underpins the current trader consensus favoring Crivella for second while assigning lower probabilities to the trailing group.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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