Recent polling from early September shows incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) leading Wellington Fagundes (PL) by roughly 11 points in the first round and holding an edge in a simulated runoff, reflecting Pivetta's gains in voter preference and approval of his administration. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns Fagundes the higher implied probability, consistent with his established statewide profile as senator, stronger performance in certain demographic segments, and historical patterns of late shifts in Brazilian gubernatorial races. Minor candidates including Doutora Natasha remain in single digits, while the large share of undecided voters and the October 2026 election timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of primary and alliance developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWellington Fagundes 61%
Otaviano Pivetta 38%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
$25,338 ปริมาณ
$25,338 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Wellington Fagundes
61%
Otaviano Pivetta
38%
Mauricio Coelho
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
<1%
Doutora Natasha
<1%
Rafaell Milas
<1%
Wellington Fagundes 61%
Otaviano Pivetta 38%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
$25,338 ปริมาณ
$25,338 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Wellington Fagundes
$13,656 ปริมาณ
61%
Otaviano Pivetta
$8,065 ปริมาณ
38%
Mauricio Coelho
$1,063 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
$689 ปริมาณ
<1%
Doutora Natasha
$995 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rafaell Milas
$870 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) leading Wellington Fagundes (PL) by roughly 11 points in the first round and holding an edge in a simulated runoff, reflecting Pivetta's gains in voter preference and approval of his administration. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns Fagundes the higher implied probability, consistent with his established statewide profile as senator, stronger performance in certain demographic segments, and historical patterns of late shifts in Brazilian gubernatorial races. Minor candidates including Doutora Natasha remain in single digits, while the large share of undecided voters and the October 2026 election timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of primary and alliance developments.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,338วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) leading Wellington Fagundes (PL) by roughly 11 points in the first round and holding an edge in a simulated runoff, reflecting Pivetta's gains in voter preference and approval of his administration. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns Fagundes the higher implied probability, consistent with his established statewide profile as senator, stronger performance in certain demographic segments, and historical patterns of late shifts in Brazilian gubernatorial races. Minor candidates including Doutora Natasha remain in single digits, while the large share of undecided voters and the October 2026 election timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of primary and alliance developments.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,338วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) leading Wellington Fagundes (PL) by roughly 11 points in the first round and holding an edge in a simulated runoff, reflecting Pivetta's gains in voter preference and approval of his administration. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns Fagundes the higher implied probability, consistent with his established statewide profile as senator, stronger performance in certain demographic segments, and historical patterns of late shifts in Brazilian gubernatorial races. Minor candidates including Doutora Natasha remain in single digits, while the large share of undecided voters and the October 2026 election timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of primary and alliance developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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