Lucas Ribeiro holds an 80.5% implied probability as the Paraíba governor election winner on October 4, 2026, reflecting his status as the incumbent who assumed office in April after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest consistently places him in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s percent range, ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Party conventions formalized his PP candidacy with coalition backing, while ongoing campaign events and administrative visibility reinforce his frontrunner position ahead of the first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff. Lower probabilities for other declared candidates align with their more limited polling support and structural challenges in consolidating opposition votes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLucas Ribeiro 81%
Efraim Filho 11%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$63,036 ปริมาณ
$63,036 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Lucas Ribeiro
81%
Efraim Filho
11%
Cícero Lucena
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Flávio Lúcio
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 81%
Efraim Filho 11%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$63,036 ปริมาณ
$63,036 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,854 ปริมาณ
81%
Efraim Filho
$14,423 ปริมาณ
11%
Cícero Lucena
$20,573 ปริมาณ
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$919 ปริมาณ
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,461 ปริมาณ
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$902 ปริมาณ
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,520 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,384 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro holds an 80.5% implied probability as the Paraíba governor election winner on October 4, 2026, reflecting his status as the incumbent who assumed office in April after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest consistently places him in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s percent range, ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Party conventions formalized his PP candidacy with coalition backing, while ongoing campaign events and administrative visibility reinforce his frontrunner position ahead of the first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff. Lower probabilities for other declared candidates align with their more limited polling support and structural challenges in consolidating opposition votes.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,036วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro holds an 80.5% implied probability as the Paraíba governor election winner on October 4, 2026, reflecting his status as the incumbent who assumed office in April after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest consistently places him in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s percent range, ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Party conventions formalized his PP candidacy with coalition backing, while ongoing campaign events and administrative visibility reinforce his frontrunner position ahead of the first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff. Lower probabilities for other declared candidates align with their more limited polling support and structural challenges in consolidating opposition votes.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,036วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro holds an 80.5% implied probability as the Paraíba governor election winner on October 4, 2026, reflecting his status as the incumbent who assumed office in April after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest consistently places him in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s percent range, ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Party conventions formalized his PP candidacy with coalition backing, while ongoing campaign events and administrative visibility reinforce his frontrunner position ahead of the first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff. Lower probabilities for other declared candidates align with their more limited polling support and structural challenges in consolidating opposition votes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย