Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the North Carolina Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 5 to 14 points across multiple surveys through late summer 2026, bolstered by his high name recognition and favorable ratings as a former two-term governor. The open seat, vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, has seen Cooper outperform Michael Whatley in fundraising by wide margins and among independents, moderates, and women. Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair with a Trump endorsement, faces lower visibility and enthusiasm gaps. Traders reflect this in the 92% implied probability, though heavy outside spending by groups like the Senate Leadership Fund and shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November 3 election could narrow the contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNorth Carolina Senate Election Winner
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
$106,695 ปริมาณ
$106,695 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
9%
$106,695 ปริมาณ
$106,695 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
$45,440 ปริมาณ
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
$61,255 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the North Carolina Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 5 to 14 points across multiple surveys through late summer 2026, bolstered by his high name recognition and favorable ratings as a former two-term governor. The open seat, vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, has seen Cooper outperform Michael Whatley in fundraising by wide margins and among independents, moderates, and women. Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair with a Trump endorsement, faces lower visibility and enthusiasm gaps. Traders reflect this in the 92% implied probability, though heavy outside spending by groups like the Senate Leadership Fund and shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November 3 election could narrow the contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,695วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the North Carolina Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 5 to 14 points across multiple surveys through late summer 2026, bolstered by his high name recognition and favorable ratings as a former two-term governor. The open seat, vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, has seen Cooper outperform Michael Whatley in fundraising by wide margins and among independents, moderates, and women. Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair with a Trump endorsement, faces lower visibility and enthusiasm gaps. Traders reflect this in the 92% implied probability, though heavy outside spending by groups like the Senate Leadership Fund and shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November 3 election could narrow the contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,695วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the North Carolina Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 5 to 14 points across multiple surveys through late summer 2026, bolstered by his high name recognition and favorable ratings as a former two-term governor. The open seat, vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, has seen Cooper outperform Michael Whatley in fundraising by wide margins and among independents, moderates, and women. Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair with a Trump endorsement, faces lower visibility and enthusiasm gaps. Traders reflect this in the 92% implied probability, though heavy outside spending by groups like the Senate Leadership Fund and shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November 3 election could narrow the contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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