**Democratic candidates hold narrow leads or toss-up positioning across the four battlegrounds—Georgia (Ossoff defense), Michigan (open seat), North Carolina (Cooper vs. Whatley), and Maine (Jackson vs. Collins)—producing the 56.5% trader consensus on a sweep.** Recent primaries narrowed fields without decisive momentum shifts, while polling averages and fundraising show Democrats competitive in each contest amid a national environment featuring low presidential approval and economic concerns that typically favor the opposition party in midterms. The requirement to win all four simultaneously keeps implied probability near even, as small shifts in turnout among suburban independents or rural voters in any single state could alter the outcome. Historical patterns of close Senate races and the absence of late-cycle surprises to date support the current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
56% โอกาส
$22,157 ปริมาณ
$22,157 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
56% โอกาส
$22,157 ปริมาณ
$22,157 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.**Democratic candidates hold narrow leads or toss-up positioning across the four battlegrounds—Georgia (Ossoff defense), Michigan (open seat), North Carolina (Cooper vs. Whatley), and Maine (Jackson vs. Collins)—producing the 56.5% trader consensus on a sweep.** Recent primaries narrowed fields without decisive momentum shifts, while polling averages and fundraising show Democrats competitive in each contest amid a national environment featuring low presidential approval and economic concerns that typically favor the opposition party in midterms. The requirement to win all four simultaneously keeps implied probability near even, as small shifts in turnout among suburban independents or rural voters in any single state could alter the outcome. Historical patterns of close Senate races and the absence of late-cycle surprises to date support the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,157วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.**Democratic candidates hold narrow leads or toss-up positioning across the four battlegrounds—Georgia (Ossoff defense), Michigan (open seat), North Carolina (Cooper vs. Whatley), and Maine (Jackson vs. Collins)—producing the 56.5% trader consensus on a sweep.** Recent primaries narrowed fields without decisive momentum shifts, while polling averages and fundraising show Democrats competitive in each contest amid a national environment featuring low presidential approval and economic concerns that typically favor the opposition party in midterms. The requirement to win all four simultaneously keeps implied probability near even, as small shifts in turnout among suburban independents or rural voters in any single state could alter the outcome. Historical patterns of close Senate races and the absence of late-cycle surprises to date support the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,157วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**Democratic candidates hold narrow leads or toss-up positioning across the four battlegrounds—Georgia (Ossoff defense), Michigan (open seat), North Carolina (Cooper vs. Whatley), and Maine (Jackson vs. Collins)—producing the 56.5% trader consensus on a sweep.** Recent primaries narrowed fields without decisive momentum shifts, while polling averages and fundraising show Democrats competitive in each contest amid a national environment featuring low presidential approval and economic concerns that typically favor the opposition party in midterms. The requirement to win all four simultaneously keeps implied probability near even, as small shifts in turnout among suburban independents or rural voters in any single state could alter the outcome. Historical patterns of close Senate races and the absence of late-cycle surprises to date support the current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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