Celina Leão (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ibaneis Rocha’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote. Datafolha surveys from early September show her at 40% in the first round, well ahead of José Roberto Arruda (PSD) at 17% and Leandro Grass (PT) at 16%, with her personal approval rising to 55%. Her support stems from a broad center-right coalition including PP, União Brasil, and allied parties, combined with steady gains in government evaluation metrics. Arruda’s numbers have declined sharply in the same period, while lower-polling contenders such as Paula Belmonte, Ricardo Cappelli, and Kiko Caputo remain marginal. With three weeks until voting, trader consensus reflects the consistent polling gap and limited time for shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCelina Leão 83%
Arruda 8.3%
Leandro Grass 2.8%
Elisson <1%
$16,738 ปริมาณ
$16,738 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Celina Leão
83%
Arruda
8%
Leandro Grass
3%
Elisson
1%
Paula Belmonte
<1%
Professor Robson
<1%
Expedito Mendonça
<1%
Kiko Caputo
<1%
Cappelli
<1%
Professora Samara Mineiro
<1%
Celina Leão 83%
Arruda 8.3%
Leandro Grass 2.8%
Elisson <1%
$16,738 ปริมาณ
$16,738 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Celina Leão
$9,582 ปริมาณ
83%
Arruda
$1,928 ปริมาณ
8%
Leandro Grass
$1,573 ปริมาณ
3%
Elisson
$543 ปริมาณ
1%
Paula Belmonte
$531 ปริมาณ
<1%
Professor Robson
$530 ปริมาณ
<1%
Expedito Mendonça
$541 ปริมาณ
<1%
Kiko Caputo
$490 ปริมาณ
<1%
Cappelli
$531 ปริมาณ
<1%
Professora Samara Mineiro
$490 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Celina Leão (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ibaneis Rocha’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote. Datafolha surveys from early September show her at 40% in the first round, well ahead of José Roberto Arruda (PSD) at 17% and Leandro Grass (PT) at 16%, with her personal approval rising to 55%. Her support stems from a broad center-right coalition including PP, União Brasil, and allied parties, combined with steady gains in government evaluation metrics. Arruda’s numbers have declined sharply in the same period, while lower-polling contenders such as Paula Belmonte, Ricardo Cappelli, and Kiko Caputo remain marginal. With three weeks until voting, trader consensus reflects the consistent polling gap and limited time for shifts.
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,738วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Celina Leão (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ibaneis Rocha’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote. Datafolha surveys from early September show her at 40% in the first round, well ahead of José Roberto Arruda (PSD) at 17% and Leandro Grass (PT) at 16%, with her personal approval rising to 55%. Her support stems from a broad center-right coalition including PP, União Brasil, and allied parties, combined with steady gains in government evaluation metrics. Arruda’s numbers have declined sharply in the same period, while lower-polling contenders such as Paula Belmonte, Ricardo Cappelli, and Kiko Caputo remain marginal. With three weeks until voting, trader consensus reflects the consistent polling gap and limited time for shifts.
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,738วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Celina Leão (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ibaneis Rocha’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote. Datafolha surveys from early September show her at 40% in the first round, well ahead of José Roberto Arruda (PSD) at 17% and Leandro Grass (PT) at 16%, with her personal approval rising to 55%. Her support stems from a broad center-right coalition including PP, União Brasil, and allied parties, combined with steady gains in government evaluation metrics. Arruda’s numbers have declined sharply in the same period, while lower-polling contenders such as Paula Belmonte, Ricardo Cappelli, and Kiko Caputo remain marginal. With three weeks until voting, trader consensus reflects the consistent polling gap and limited time for shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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