Recent polling from Datafolha and other institutes shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-place intentions for the Federal District's two Senate seats, leaving second place contested in a technical tie among incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT), all within margins of error around 15-18%. High undecided and blank/null shares persist near election day on October 4, with voters selecting two distinct candidates. Campaign alignments with presidential contenders and limited recent shifts in voter preferences among these frontrunners sustain the close positioning reflected in trader consensus. Developments such as further debate performances, turnout patterns in Brasília's regions, or late endorsements could alter the ordering before votes are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBia Kicis 43.5%
Leila do Vôlei 31%
Erika Kokay <1%
Michelle Bolsonaro <1%
$43,468 ปริมาณ
$43,468 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
49%
Leila do Vôlei
31%
Erika Kokay
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Marley
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Bia Kicis 43.5%
Leila do Vôlei 31%
Erika Kokay <1%
Michelle Bolsonaro <1%
$43,468 ปริมาณ
$43,468 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
$10,838 ปริมาณ
49%
Leila do Vôlei
$15,322 ปริมาณ
31%
Erika Kokay
$6,698 ปริมาณ
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$4,711 ปริมาณ
<1%
Avenir Rosa
$437 ปริมาณ
<1%
David Horn
$2,060 ปริมาณ
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marley
$392 ปริมาณ
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$878 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$407 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tiago
$546 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zanata
$417 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and other institutes shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-place intentions for the Federal District's two Senate seats, leaving second place contested in a technical tie among incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT), all within margins of error around 15-18%. High undecided and blank/null shares persist near election day on October 4, with voters selecting two distinct candidates. Campaign alignments with presidential contenders and limited recent shifts in voter preferences among these frontrunners sustain the close positioning reflected in trader consensus. Developments such as further debate performances, turnout patterns in Brasília's regions, or late endorsements could alter the ordering before votes are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,468วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and other institutes shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-place intentions for the Federal District's two Senate seats, leaving second place contested in a technical tie among incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT), all within margins of error around 15-18%. High undecided and blank/null shares persist near election day on October 4, with voters selecting two distinct candidates. Campaign alignments with presidential contenders and limited recent shifts in voter preferences among these frontrunners sustain the close positioning reflected in trader consensus. Developments such as further debate performances, turnout patterns in Brasília's regions, or late endorsements could alter the ordering before votes are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,468วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and other institutes shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-place intentions for the Federal District's two Senate seats, leaving second place contested in a technical tie among incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT), all within margins of error around 15-18%. High undecided and blank/null shares persist near election day on October 4, with voters selecting two distinct candidates. Campaign alignments with presidential contenders and limited recent shifts in voter preferences among these frontrunners sustain the close positioning reflected in trader consensus. Developments such as further debate performances, turnout patterns in Brasília's regions, or late endorsements could alter the ordering before votes are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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