Omar Aziz (PSD), a former governor and current senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, supported by name recognition and endorsements from parties including MDB and Republicanos. The race remains competitive because Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), the current governor elected indirectly earlier in 2026, shares support with Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) in the 15-22% range across multiple surveys, fragmenting the opposition and leaving high shares of undecided or blank votes. Second-round simulations show narrow margins in several pairings, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior as well as voter rejection patterns. Traders price Aziz highest while assigning substantial uncertainty to the field, consistent with the potential for late shifts from campaign events or turnout differences before the October 25 runoff if needed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOmar Aziz 59%
Professora Maria do Carmo 27%
Roberto Cidade 15.8%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,527 ปริมาณ
$25,527 ปริมาณ
Omar Aziz
59%
Professora Maria do Carmo
27%
Roberto Cidade
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 59%
Professora Maria do Carmo 27%
Roberto Cidade 15.8%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,527 ปริมาณ
$25,527 ปริมาณ
Omar Aziz
59%
Professora Maria do Carmo
27%
Roberto Cidade
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD), a former governor and current senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, supported by name recognition and endorsements from parties including MDB and Republicanos. The race remains competitive because Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), the current governor elected indirectly earlier in 2026, shares support with Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) in the 15-22% range across multiple surveys, fragmenting the opposition and leaving high shares of undecided or blank votes. Second-round simulations show narrow margins in several pairings, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior as well as voter rejection patterns. Traders price Aziz highest while assigning substantial uncertainty to the field, consistent with the potential for late shifts from campaign events or turnout differences before the October 25 runoff if needed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย