Recent August 2026 data showed Core CPI easing to 2.4% YoY from 2.5% in July, with the month-over-month pace rising 0.3% against 0.2% expectations, reflecting persistent shelter and services pressures amid energy volatility. This mix has anchored Polymarket-implied odds at 2.4% (39.5%), followed by 2.5% (23.5%) and 2.3% (22.0%), as traders weigh the ongoing disinflation trend against signs of reacceleration in underlying components. The Cleveland Fed nowcast points to a 2.39% September print, while broader forecasts anticipate gradual moderation toward 2.4% by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the October 14 release and any shifts in labor-market or commodity data that could alter the market-implied rate path priced into Treasury yields.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCore CPI YoY - September 2026
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4% 40%
2.5% 24%
2.3% 22%
2.2% 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.0%
5%
2.1%
4%
2.2%
7%
2.3%
22%
2.4%
40%
2.5%
24%
2.6%
6%
2.7%
6%
2.8%
5%
≥2.9%
4%
2.4% 40%
2.5% 24%
2.3% 22%
2.2% 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.0%
$142 ปริมาณ
5%
2.1%
$142 ปริมาณ
4%
2.2%
$162 ปริมาณ
7%
2.3%
$453 ปริมาณ
22%
2.4%
$1,185 ปริมาณ
40%
2.5%
$268 ปริมาณ
24%
2.6%
$282 ปริมาณ
6%
2.7%
$182 ปริมาณ
6%
2.8%
$142 ปริมาณ
5%
≥2.9%
$349 ปริมาณ
4%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August 2026 data showed Core CPI easing to 2.4% YoY from 2.5% in July, with the month-over-month pace rising 0.3% against 0.2% expectations, reflecting persistent shelter and services pressures amid energy volatility. This mix has anchored Polymarket-implied odds at 2.4% (39.5%), followed by 2.5% (23.5%) and 2.3% (22.0%), as traders weigh the ongoing disinflation trend against signs of reacceleration in underlying components. The Cleveland Fed nowcast points to a 2.39% September print, while broader forecasts anticipate gradual moderation toward 2.4% by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the October 14 release and any shifts in labor-market or commodity data that could alter the market-implied rate path priced into Treasury yields.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,308วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August 2026 data showed Core CPI easing to 2.4% YoY from 2.5% in July, with the month-over-month pace rising 0.3% against 0.2% expectations, reflecting persistent shelter and services pressures amid energy volatility. This mix has anchored Polymarket-implied odds at 2.4% (39.5%), followed by 2.5% (23.5%) and 2.3% (22.0%), as traders weigh the ongoing disinflation trend against signs of reacceleration in underlying components. The Cleveland Fed nowcast points to a 2.39% September print, while broader forecasts anticipate gradual moderation toward 2.4% by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the October 14 release and any shifts in labor-market or commodity data that could alter the market-implied rate path priced into Treasury yields.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,308วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 data showed Core CPI easing to 2.4% YoY from 2.5% in July, with the month-over-month pace rising 0.3% against 0.2% expectations, reflecting persistent shelter and services pressures amid energy volatility. This mix has anchored Polymarket-implied odds at 2.4% (39.5%), followed by 2.5% (23.5%) and 2.3% (22.0%), as traders weigh the ongoing disinflation trend against signs of reacceleration in underlying components. The Cleveland Fed nowcast points to a 2.39% September print, while broader forecasts anticipate gradual moderation toward 2.4% by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the October 14 release and any shifts in labor-market or commodity data that could alter the market-implied rate path priced into Treasury yields.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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