Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 trades at an 81.3% implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%, reflecting sustained upward pressure from energy prices amid the Middle East conflict. The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed the annual average at 3.0%, revised higher by 0.4 percentage points from March due to elevated energy and food assumptions, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% expected through year-end. Recent data reinforce this path: the August 2026 flash estimate reached 3.3%, up from 2.9% in July and the highest reading in nearly three years, driven by a 14.3% energy component surge. Professional forecasters in the Q3 2026 SPF anticipate 2.7%, yet market-implied odds embed the risk of further energy-driven upside through the remainder of the year. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any ECB policy signals on rate adjustments will continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the full-year outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 81.3%
2.8-3.0% 8.3%
1.0–1.2% 2.5%
2.5–2.7% 1.9%
$112,517 ปริมาณ
$112,517 ปริมาณ
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.2%
3%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
<1%
2.2–2.4%
<1%
2.5–2.7%
2%
2.8-3.0%
8%
3.1%+
81%
3.1%+ 81.3%
2.8-3.0% 8.3%
1.0–1.2% 2.5%
2.5–2.7% 1.9%
$112,517 ปริมาณ
$112,517 ปริมาณ
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$5,110 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.0–1.2%
$16,434 ปริมาณ
3%
1.3–1.5%
$16,398 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$3,572 ปริมาณ
1%
1.9–2.1%
$26,053 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.2–2.4%
$5,261 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.5–2.7%
$7,894 ปริมาณ
2%
2.8-3.0%
$17,110 ปริมาณ
8%
3.1%+
$14,686 ปริมาณ
81%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 trades at an 81.3% implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%, reflecting sustained upward pressure from energy prices amid the Middle East conflict. The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed the annual average at 3.0%, revised higher by 0.4 percentage points from March due to elevated energy and food assumptions, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% expected through year-end. Recent data reinforce this path: the August 2026 flash estimate reached 3.3%, up from 2.9% in July and the highest reading in nearly three years, driven by a 14.3% energy component surge. Professional forecasters in the Q3 2026 SPF anticipate 2.7%, yet market-implied odds embed the risk of further energy-driven upside through the remainder of the year. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any ECB policy signals on rate adjustments will continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the full-year outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$112,517วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 19, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 trades at an 81.3% implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%, reflecting sustained upward pressure from energy prices amid the Middle East conflict. The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed the annual average at 3.0%, revised higher by 0.4 percentage points from March due to elevated energy and food assumptions, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% expected through year-end. Recent data reinforce this path: the August 2026 flash estimate reached 3.3%, up from 2.9% in July and the highest reading in nearly three years, driven by a 14.3% energy component surge. Professional forecasters in the Q3 2026 SPF anticipate 2.7%, yet market-implied odds embed the risk of further energy-driven upside through the remainder of the year. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any ECB policy signals on rate adjustments will continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the full-year outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$112,517วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 19, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 trades at an 81.3% implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%, reflecting sustained upward pressure from energy prices amid the Middle East conflict. The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed the annual average at 3.0%, revised higher by 0.4 percentage points from March due to elevated energy and food assumptions, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% expected through year-end. Recent data reinforce this path: the August 2026 flash estimate reached 3.3%, up from 2.9% in July and the highest reading in nearly three years, driven by a 14.3% energy component surge. Professional forecasters in the Q3 2026 SPF anticipate 2.7%, yet market-implied odds embed the risk of further energy-driven upside through the remainder of the year. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any ECB policy signals on rate adjustments will continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the full-year outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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