Recent surges in global energy prices from the Middle East conflict have lifted UK CPI inflation to 2.9% in July 2026, with the Bank of England projecting a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 as higher costs pass through utility bills and supply chains. This dynamic underpins the leading 3.5–3.9% band for the 2026 annual average, as market-implied odds price in moderate persistence of the shock without strong second-round wage pressures. Economic slack, rising unemployment around 5%, and contained core inflation near 2.6% limit upside risks, while subdued growth forecasts near 1.1% cap the scope for significantly lower outcomes. Key upcoming catalysts include September CPI data and BoE communications on monetary policy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.5–2.9% 10.9%
2.0–2.4% 10.7%
4.5%+ 8%
$86,682 ปริมาณ
$86,682 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
2%
1.5–1.9%
7%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
11%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
27%
4.0-4.4%
2%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.5–2.9% 10.9%
2.0–2.4% 10.7%
4.5%+ 8%
$86,682 ปริมาณ
$86,682 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$945 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,260 ปริมาณ
2%
1.5–1.9%
$2,642 ปริมาณ
7%
2.0–2.4%
$4,344 ปริมาณ
11%
2.5–2.9%
$22,536 ปริมาณ
11%
3.0–3.4%
$0 ปริมาณ
-
3.5–3.9%
$37,535 ปริมาณ
27%
4.0-4.4%
$8,442 ปริมาณ
2%
4.5%+
$8,978 ปริมาณ
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent surges in global energy prices from the Middle East conflict have lifted UK CPI inflation to 2.9% in July 2026, with the Bank of England projecting a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 as higher costs pass through utility bills and supply chains. This dynamic underpins the leading 3.5–3.9% band for the 2026 annual average, as market-implied odds price in moderate persistence of the shock without strong second-round wage pressures. Economic slack, rising unemployment around 5%, and contained core inflation near 2.6% limit upside risks, while subdued growth forecasts near 1.1% cap the scope for significantly lower outcomes. Key upcoming catalysts include September CPI data and BoE communications on monetary policy.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$86,682วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent surges in global energy prices from the Middle East conflict have lifted UK CPI inflation to 2.9% in July 2026, with the Bank of England projecting a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 as higher costs pass through utility bills and supply chains. This dynamic underpins the leading 3.5–3.9% band for the 2026 annual average, as market-implied odds price in moderate persistence of the shock without strong second-round wage pressures. Economic slack, rising unemployment around 5%, and contained core inflation near 2.6% limit upside risks, while subdued growth forecasts near 1.1% cap the scope for significantly lower outcomes. Key upcoming catalysts include September CPI data and BoE communications on monetary policy.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$86,682วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent surges in global energy prices from the Middle East conflict have lifted UK CPI inflation to 2.9% in July 2026, with the Bank of England projecting a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 as higher costs pass through utility bills and supply chains. This dynamic underpins the leading 3.5–3.9% band for the 2026 annual average, as market-implied odds price in moderate persistence of the shock without strong second-round wage pressures. Economic slack, rising unemployment around 5%, and contained core inflation near 2.6% limit upside risks, while subdued growth forecasts near 1.1% cap the scope for significantly lower outcomes. Key upcoming catalysts include September CPI data and BoE communications on monetary policy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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