Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has held steady near 1.9% year-over-year through August 2026 amid government utility subsidies and softening food price gains, keeping readings below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple months. Trader positioning favoring a 2.0-2.4% outcome for the full-year 2026 figure reflects expectations that wage-driven services inflation and pass-through from higher import costs will lift underlying pressures in the second half, consistent with BoJ communications and recent Tokyo data showing broadening price momentum. Recent August national figures, with core-core unchanged at 1.9%, underscore the role of temporary energy relief in muting the print, while analysts anticipate acceleration once subsidies fade and domestic demand supports further gains. Market-implied odds align with this trajectory over scenarios of prolonged sub-2% readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 78%
≤1.9% 23%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4.0%+ <1%
$61,116 ปริมาณ
$61,116 ปริมาณ
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
23%
2.0-2.4%
78%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 78%
≤1.9% 23%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4.0%+ <1%
$61,116 ปริมาณ
$61,116 ปริมาณ
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
$17,276 ปริมาณ
23%
2.0-2.4%
$26,450 ปริมาณ
78%
2.5-2.9%
$11,369 ปริมาณ
1%
3.0-3.4%
$2,464 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,485 ปริมาณ
<1%
4.0%+
$2,072 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has held steady near 1.9% year-over-year through August 2026 amid government utility subsidies and softening food price gains, keeping readings below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple months. Trader positioning favoring a 2.0-2.4% outcome for the full-year 2026 figure reflects expectations that wage-driven services inflation and pass-through from higher import costs will lift underlying pressures in the second half, consistent with BoJ communications and recent Tokyo data showing broadening price momentum. Recent August national figures, with core-core unchanged at 1.9%, underscore the role of temporary energy relief in muting the print, while analysts anticipate acceleration once subsidies fade and domestic demand supports further gains. Market-implied odds align with this trajectory over scenarios of prolonged sub-2% readings.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,116วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has held steady near 1.9% year-over-year through August 2026 amid government utility subsidies and softening food price gains, keeping readings below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple months. Trader positioning favoring a 2.0-2.4% outcome for the full-year 2026 figure reflects expectations that wage-driven services inflation and pass-through from higher import costs will lift underlying pressures in the second half, consistent with BoJ communications and recent Tokyo data showing broadening price momentum. Recent August national figures, with core-core unchanged at 1.9%, underscore the role of temporary energy relief in muting the print, while analysts anticipate acceleration once subsidies fade and domestic demand supports further gains. Market-implied odds align with this trajectory over scenarios of prolonged sub-2% readings.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,116วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has held steady near 1.9% year-over-year through August 2026 amid government utility subsidies and softening food price gains, keeping readings below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple months. Trader positioning favoring a 2.0-2.4% outcome for the full-year 2026 figure reflects expectations that wage-driven services inflation and pass-through from higher import costs will lift underlying pressures in the second half, consistent with BoJ communications and recent Tokyo data showing broadening price momentum. Recent August national figures, with core-core unchanged at 1.9%, underscore the role of temporary energy relief in muting the print, while analysts anticipate acceleration once subsidies fade and domestic demand supports further gains. Market-implied odds align with this trajectory over scenarios of prolonged sub-2% readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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