Cid Gomes leads the market for first place in the Ceará Senate race at 77% implied probability, reflecting his position as the incumbent senator and former governor with the strongest polling performance in recent surveys. Multiple September 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show him at 27% in consolidated first- and second-choice voting, ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins at 20% each, with the remainder of the field trailing further. His advantage stems from established name recognition, alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Governor Elmano de Freitas, and formal PSB nomination in August. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from campaign dynamics or turnout patterns among the two available Senate seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCid Gomes 77%
Capitão Wagner 13%
Luizianne 6.2%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,167 ปริมาณ
$23,167 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
77%
Capitão Wagner
13%
Luizianne
6%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Cid Gomes 77%
Capitão Wagner 13%
Luizianne 6.2%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,167 ปริมาณ
$23,167 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
$15,438 ปริมาณ
77%
Capitão Wagner
$2,701 ปริมาณ
13%
Luizianne
$1,258 ปริมาณ
6%
Alcides Fernandes
$857 ปริมาณ
1%
Lino Alves
$840 ปริมาณ
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$654 ปริมาณ
<1%
Catarina Matos
$650 ปริมาณ
<1%
Reginaldo
$769 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes leads the market for first place in the Ceará Senate race at 77% implied probability, reflecting his position as the incumbent senator and former governor with the strongest polling performance in recent surveys. Multiple September 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show him at 27% in consolidated first- and second-choice voting, ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins at 20% each, with the remainder of the field trailing further. His advantage stems from established name recognition, alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Governor Elmano de Freitas, and formal PSB nomination in August. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from campaign dynamics or turnout patterns among the two available Senate seats.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,167วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes leads the market for first place in the Ceará Senate race at 77% implied probability, reflecting his position as the incumbent senator and former governor with the strongest polling performance in recent surveys. Multiple September 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show him at 27% in consolidated first- and second-choice voting, ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins at 20% each, with the remainder of the field trailing further. His advantage stems from established name recognition, alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Governor Elmano de Freitas, and formal PSB nomination in August. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from campaign dynamics or turnout patterns among the two available Senate seats.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,167วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes leads the market for first place in the Ceará Senate race at 77% implied probability, reflecting his position as the incumbent senator and former governor with the strongest polling performance in recent surveys. Multiple September 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show him at 27% in consolidated first- and second-choice voting, ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins at 20% each, with the remainder of the field trailing further. His advantage stems from established name recognition, alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Governor Elmano de Freitas, and formal PSB nomination in August. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from campaign dynamics or turnout patterns among the two available Senate seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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