Recent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLuizianne 44%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 19%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$36,440 ปริมาณ
$36,440 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Luizianne
44%
Capitão Wagner
36%
Cid Gomes
19%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Luizianne 44%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 19%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$36,440 ปริมาณ
$36,440 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Luizianne
$11,611 ปริมาณ
44%
Capitão Wagner
$14,298 ปริมาณ
36%
Cid Gomes
$4,901 ปริมาณ
19%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,095 ปริมาณ
1%
Lino Alves
$942 ปริมาณ
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$820 ปริมาณ
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,538 ปริมาณ
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,440วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,440วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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