Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented Senate race for the two seats, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tying at 11-24% in stimulated scenarios from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and INOR in late August and early September, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil) at 9-21%, Rogério Carvalho (PT) at 9-11%, Delegado Alessandro (MDB) at 8-10%, and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) at 7-16%. High undecided rates—often exceeding 20% and reaching 79% in spontaneous responses—along with voters selecting two names sustain the tight trader pricing for first place. Registered candidacies, party coalitions tied to the gubernatorial contest, and limited time before the October 4 vote keep separation narrow, with further polling shifts or late endorsements among the main contenders most likely to alter implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDelegado André David 43%
André Moura 30.4%
Rogerio Carvalho 18.8%
Delegado Alessandro 7.6%
$31,784 ปริมาณ
$31,784 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado André David
43%
André Moura
30%
Rogerio Carvalho
19%
Delegado Alessandro
8%
Eduardo Amorim
3%
Rodrigo Valadares
3%
Iran Barbosa
2%
Paulinho da União Tur
1%
Edvaldo
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Delegado André David 43%
André Moura 30.4%
Rogerio Carvalho 18.8%
Delegado Alessandro 7.6%
$31,784 ปริมาณ
$31,784 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado André David
$17,519 ปริมาณ
43%
André Moura
$6,473 ปริมาณ
30%
Rogerio Carvalho
$3,385 ปริมาณ
19%
Delegado Alessandro
$680 ปริมาณ
8%
Eduardo Amorim
$1,389 ปริมาณ
3%
Rodrigo Valadares
$510 ปริมาณ
3%
Iran Barbosa
$411 ปริมาณ
2%
Paulinho da União Tur
$269 ปริมาณ
1%
Edvaldo
$359 ปริมาณ
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$385 ปริมาณ
<1%
Renatinha
$405 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented Senate race for the two seats, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tying at 11-24% in stimulated scenarios from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and INOR in late August and early September, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil) at 9-21%, Rogério Carvalho (PT) at 9-11%, Delegado Alessandro (MDB) at 8-10%, and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) at 7-16%. High undecided rates—often exceeding 20% and reaching 79% in spontaneous responses—along with voters selecting two names sustain the tight trader pricing for first place. Registered candidacies, party coalitions tied to the gubernatorial contest, and limited time before the October 4 vote keep separation narrow, with further polling shifts or late endorsements among the main contenders most likely to alter implied probabilities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,784วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented Senate race for the two seats, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tying at 11-24% in stimulated scenarios from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and INOR in late August and early September, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil) at 9-21%, Rogério Carvalho (PT) at 9-11%, Delegado Alessandro (MDB) at 8-10%, and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) at 7-16%. High undecided rates—often exceeding 20% and reaching 79% in spontaneous responses—along with voters selecting two names sustain the tight trader pricing for first place. Registered candidacies, party coalitions tied to the gubernatorial contest, and limited time before the October 4 vote keep separation narrow, with further polling shifts or late endorsements among the main contenders most likely to alter implied probabilities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,784วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented Senate race for the two seats, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tying at 11-24% in stimulated scenarios from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and INOR in late August and early September, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil) at 9-21%, Rogério Carvalho (PT) at 9-11%, Delegado Alessandro (MDB) at 8-10%, and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) at 7-16%. High undecided rates—often exceeding 20% and reaching 79% in spontaneous responses—along with voters selecting two names sustain the tight trader pricing for first place. Registered candidacies, party coalitions tied to the gubernatorial contest, and limited time before the October 4 vote keep separation narrow, with further polling shifts or late endorsements among the main contenders most likely to alter implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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