**Jaques Wagner holds a strong lead for second place in Bahia’s 2026 Senate race at 70.5% according to current market pricing, well ahead of Angelo Coronel (14.5%), Rui Costa (11.8%), João Roma (3.3%), and lower-polling names.** This positioning stems from the latest Real Time Big Data survey (Sept 4–8, 2026), which shows Rui Costa (PT) leading overall consolidated intentions at 26% while the contest for the second seat remains tight. In explicit second-vote preferences, Wagner leads at 20%, ahead of Coronel (16%), with Roma and Costa further back. Earlier August polling from Quaest and others had shown the two PT candidates (Rui Costa and Wagner) more comfortably ahead, but the newest data indicates Roma’s gains have narrowed the gap for second without displacing Wagner. Voters select two senators in a single round on October 4, and the market’s implied probabilities align closely with these second-preference trends and the established strength of the PT slate in the state. No major new developments have emerged since the September 9 poll release to alter this ordering.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Jaques Wagner 70%
Angelo Coronel 14.1%
Rui Costa 12.7%
João Roma 1.6%
$31,342 ปริมาณ
$31,342 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
70%
Angelo Coronel
14%
Rui Costa
13%
João Roma
2%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 70%
Angelo Coronel 14.1%
Rui Costa 12.7%
João Roma 1.6%
$31,342 ปริมาณ
$31,342 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
$20,045 ปริมาณ
70%
Angelo Coronel
$1,641 ปริมาณ
14%
Rui Costa
$4,818 ปริมาณ
13%
João Roma
$1,021 ปริมาณ
2%
Carlos Sodré
$681 ปริมาณ
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 ปริมาณ
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jaques Wagner holds a strong lead for second place in Bahia’s 2026 Senate race at 70.5% according to current market pricing, well ahead of Angelo Coronel (14.5%), Rui Costa (11.8%), João Roma (3.3%), and lower-polling names.**
This positioning stems from the latest Real Time Big Data survey (Sept 4–8, 2026), which shows Rui Costa (PT) leading overall consolidated intentions at 26% while the contest for the second seat remains tight. In explicit second-vote preferences, Wagner leads at 20%, ahead of Coronel (16%), with Roma and Costa further back. Earlier August polling from Quaest and others had shown the two PT candidates (Rui Costa and Wagner) more comfortably ahead, but the newest data indicates Roma’s gains have narrowed the gap for second without displacing Wagner.
Voters select two senators in a single round on October 4, and the market’s implied probabilities align closely with these second-preference trends and the established strength of the PT slate in the state. No major new developments have emerged since the September 9 poll release to alter this ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,342วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jaques Wagner holds a strong lead for second place in Bahia’s 2026 Senate race at 70.5% according to current market pricing, well ahead of Angelo Coronel (14.5%), Rui Costa (11.8%), João Roma (3.3%), and lower-polling names.**
This positioning stems from the latest Real Time Big Data survey (Sept 4–8, 2026), which shows Rui Costa (PT) leading overall consolidated intentions at 26% while the contest for the second seat remains tight. In explicit second-vote preferences, Wagner leads at 20%, ahead of Coronel (16%), with Roma and Costa further back. Earlier August polling from Quaest and others had shown the two PT candidates (Rui Costa and Wagner) more comfortably ahead, but the newest data indicates Roma’s gains have narrowed the gap for second without displacing Wagner.
Voters select two senators in a single round on October 4, and the market’s implied probabilities align closely with these second-preference trends and the established strength of the PT slate in the state. No major new developments have emerged since the September 9 poll release to alter this ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,342วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Jaques Wagner holds a strong lead for second place in Bahia’s 2026 Senate race at 70.5% according to current market pricing, well ahead of Angelo Coronel (14.5%), Rui Costa (11.8%), João Roma (3.3%), and lower-polling names.** This positioning stems from the latest Real Time Big Data survey (Sept 4–8, 2026), which shows Rui Costa (PT) leading overall consolidated intentions at 26% while the contest for the second seat remains tight. In explicit second-vote preferences, Wagner leads at 20%, ahead of Coronel (16%), with Roma and Costa further back. Earlier August polling from Quaest and others had shown the two PT candidates (Rui Costa and Wagner) more comfortably ahead, but the newest data indicates Roma’s gains have narrowed the gap for second without displacing Wagner. Voters select two senators in a single round on October 4, and the market’s implied probabilities align closely with these second-preference trends and the established strength of the PT slate in the state. No major new developments have emerged since the September 9 poll release to alter this ordering.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย