Rui Costa (PT) holds the strongest position for first place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent polling leads of 23-26% in recent Real Time and Quaest surveys that place him well ahead of fellow PT incumbent Jaques Wagner. His profile as former governor and recent Casa Civil minister has consolidated support within the state’s PT-aligned electorate, while opposition candidates João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail in the 15-17% range and remain statistically tied for the second seat. No major shifts have emerged in the final weeks before voting, with candidate registrations now finalized by the TSE and limited movement in voter intention data. Traders appear to price Rui Costa’s frontrunner status on the basis of these sustained survey advantages and the structural strength of PT candidacies in Bahia.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRui Costa 79%
Jaques Wagner 11.4%
João Roma 6.1%
Angelo Coronel 5.0%
$29,311 ปริมาณ
$29,311 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Rui Costa
73%
Jaques Wagner
11%
João Roma
12%
Angelo Coronel
5%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Rui Costa 79%
Jaques Wagner 11.4%
João Roma 6.1%
Angelo Coronel 5.0%
$29,311 ปริมาณ
$29,311 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Rui Costa
$14,034 ปริมาณ
73%
Jaques Wagner
$6,017 ปริมาณ
11%
João Roma
$2,893 ปริมาณ
12%
Angelo Coronel
$1,838 ปริมาณ
5%
Carlos Sodré
$800 ปริมาณ
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$691 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$741 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$810 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$775 ปริมาณ
<1%
Professora Delliana
$713 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa (PT) holds the strongest position for first place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent polling leads of 23-26% in recent Real Time and Quaest surveys that place him well ahead of fellow PT incumbent Jaques Wagner. His profile as former governor and recent Casa Civil minister has consolidated support within the state’s PT-aligned electorate, while opposition candidates João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail in the 15-17% range and remain statistically tied for the second seat. No major shifts have emerged in the final weeks before voting, with candidate registrations now finalized by the TSE and limited movement in voter intention data. Traders appear to price Rui Costa’s frontrunner status on the basis of these sustained survey advantages and the structural strength of PT candidacies in Bahia.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,311วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa (PT) holds the strongest position for first place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent polling leads of 23-26% in recent Real Time and Quaest surveys that place him well ahead of fellow PT incumbent Jaques Wagner. His profile as former governor and recent Casa Civil minister has consolidated support within the state’s PT-aligned electorate, while opposition candidates João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail in the 15-17% range and remain statistically tied for the second seat. No major shifts have emerged in the final weeks before voting, with candidate registrations now finalized by the TSE and limited movement in voter intention data. Traders appear to price Rui Costa’s frontrunner status on the basis of these sustained survey advantages and the structural strength of PT candidacies in Bahia.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,311วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Rui Costa (PT) holds the strongest position for first place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent polling leads of 23-26% in recent Real Time and Quaest surveys that place him well ahead of fellow PT incumbent Jaques Wagner. His profile as former governor and recent Casa Civil minister has consolidated support within the state’s PT-aligned electorate, while opposition candidates João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail in the 15-17% range and remain statistically tied for the second seat. No major shifts have emerged in the final weeks before voting, with candidate registrations now finalized by the TSE and limited movement in voter intention data. Traders appear to price Rui Costa’s frontrunner status on the basis of these sustained survey advantages and the structural strength of PT candidacies in Bahia.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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