Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads trader pricing at 60.5% due to Bahia's extended PT governance since 2007 and his established organizational base ahead of the October 4 first round. ACM Neto (União Brasil) trails at 37.5% as the main challenger in a rematch of the 2022 runoff, with recent polls showing a tight contest that includes AtlasIntel data placing Neto narrowly ahead in simulated first-round and runoff scenarios. Active September campaigning, including rallies and interior events by both frontrunners, has not produced decisive shifts, while minor candidates register negligible support. The market reflects trader consensus on Rodrigues' structural advantages despite the competitive polling environment and short timeline to voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$150,608 ปริมาณ
$150,608 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
61%
ACM Neto
38%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$150,608 ปริมาณ
$150,608 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$49,800 ปริมาณ
61%
ACM Neto
$58,683 ปริมาณ
38%
João Roma
$5,186 ปริมาณ
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 ปริมาณ
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads trader pricing at 60.5% due to Bahia's extended PT governance since 2007 and his established organizational base ahead of the October 4 first round. ACM Neto (União Brasil) trails at 37.5% as the main challenger in a rematch of the 2022 runoff, with recent polls showing a tight contest that includes AtlasIntel data placing Neto narrowly ahead in simulated first-round and runoff scenarios. Active September campaigning, including rallies and interior events by both frontrunners, has not produced decisive shifts, while minor candidates register negligible support. The market reflects trader consensus on Rodrigues' structural advantages despite the competitive polling environment and short timeline to voting.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$150,608วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads trader pricing at 60.5% due to Bahia's extended PT governance since 2007 and his established organizational base ahead of the October 4 first round. ACM Neto (União Brasil) trails at 37.5% as the main challenger in a rematch of the 2022 runoff, with recent polls showing a tight contest that includes AtlasIntel data placing Neto narrowly ahead in simulated first-round and runoff scenarios. Active September campaigning, including rallies and interior events by both frontrunners, has not produced decisive shifts, while minor candidates register negligible support. The market reflects trader consensus on Rodrigues' structural advantages despite the competitive polling environment and short timeline to voting.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$150,608วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads trader pricing at 60.5% due to Bahia's extended PT governance since 2007 and his established organizational base ahead of the October 4 first round. ACM Neto (União Brasil) trails at 37.5% as the main challenger in a rematch of the 2022 runoff, with recent polls showing a tight contest that includes AtlasIntel data placing Neto narrowly ahead in simulated first-round and runoff scenarios. Active September campaigning, including rallies and interior events by both frontrunners, has not produced decisive shifts, while minor candidates register negligible support. The market reflects trader consensus on Rodrigues' structural advantages despite the competitive polling environment and short timeline to voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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