Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats, positioning Humberto Costa (PT) as the strongest contender for second amid a fragmented field that includes Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). Trader consensus prices Costa highest for second place, reflecting his steady support and incumbency, while Mendonça and da Fonte trail in implied probability. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with technical ties within margins of error, sustain the tight contest. Late campaign events, alliance shifts, or turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still alter second-place ordering before the October 4 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУмберто Коста 43%
Мендонса Фильо 21%
Марилия Аррайс 16.8%
Тулиу Гаделья 7.6%
$32,086 Объем
$32,086 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Умберто Коста
43%
Мендонса Фильо
21%
Марилия Аррайс
17%
Тулиу Гаделья
8%
Эдуардо да Фонте
6%
Мариано Маседо
<1%
Самуэль Тимотео
<1%
Пастор Жилван Коста
<1%
Карлос Сант'Анна
<1%
Горетт Биту
<1%
Майлсон да Силва Нето
<1%
Пауло Рубен Сантьяго
<1%
Умберто Коста 43%
Мендонса Фильо 21%
Марилия Аррайс 16.8%
Тулиу Гаделья 7.6%
$32,086 Объем
$32,086 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Умберто Коста
$10,112 Объем
43%
Мендонса Фильо
$8,716 Объем
21%
Марилия Аррайс
$5,666 Объем
17%
Тулиу Гаделья
$1,435 Объем
8%
Эдуардо да Фонте
$1,694 Объем
6%
Мариано Маседо
$806 Объем
<1%
Самуэль Тимотео
$834 Объем
<1%
Пастор Жилван Коста
$778 Объем
<1%
Карлос Сант'Анна
$494 Объем
<1%
Горетт Биту
$629 Объем
<1%
Майлсон да Силва Нето
$433 Объем
<1%
Пауло Рубен Сантьяго
$490 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats, positioning Humberto Costa (PT) as the strongest contender for second amid a fragmented field that includes Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). Trader consensus prices Costa highest for second place, reflecting his steady support and incumbency, while Mendonça and da Fonte trail in implied probability. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with technical ties within margins of error, sustain the tight contest. Late campaign events, alliance shifts, or turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still alter second-place ordering before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Объем
$32,086Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats, positioning Humberto Costa (PT) as the strongest contender for second amid a fragmented field that includes Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). Trader consensus prices Costa highest for second place, reflecting his steady support and incumbency, while Mendonça and da Fonte trail in implied probability. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with technical ties within margins of error, sustain the tight contest. Late campaign events, alliance shifts, or turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still alter second-place ordering before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$32,086Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats, positioning Humberto Costa (PT) as the strongest contender for second amid a fragmented field that includes Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). Trader consensus prices Costa highest for second place, reflecting his steady support and incumbency, while Mendonça and da Fonte trail in implied probability. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with technical ties within margins of error, sustain the tight contest. Late campaign events, alliance shifts, or turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still alter second-place ordering before the October 4 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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