Recent polls from Quaest and Correio/Opinião show a tight contest for the second Federal District Senate seat, with Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17-19%, Bia Kicis (PL) rising to 15%, and Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, all within the margin of error. Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leads overall at 22-26% and appears positioned for the first seat. Bia Kicis has gained ground since early September amid PL coordination with national figures, while Leila and Erika draw support from Lula-aligned voters. A recent TRE-DF ruling removed several Bia campaign ads over disproportionate Michelle appearances, exceeding supporter time limits. With the October 4 first round approaching and many undecided voters, second-choice preferences and turnout among polarized blocs will likely determine separation among the top contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБия Кисиз 57.4%
Лейла ду Волей 33%
Мишель Болсонару 6.6%
Эрика Кокай <1%
$48,018 Объем
$48,018 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Бия Кисиз
57%
Лейла ду Волей
33%
Мишель Болсонару
7%
Эрика Кокай
<1%
Авенир Роса
<1%
Дэвид Хорн
<1%
Гуто Фелисио дос Сантос
<1%
Марли
<1%
Профессор Гильерме Аморим
<1%
Роналдо Фонсека
<1%
Себастьяо Коэльо
<1%
Тьяго
<1%
Заната
<1%
Бия Кисиз 57.4%
Лейла ду Волей 33%
Мишель Болсонару 6.6%
Эрика Кокай <1%
$48,018 Объем
$48,018 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Бия Кисиз
$12,642 Объем
57%
Лейла ду Волей
$16,455 Объем
33%
Мишель Болсонару
$5,722 Объем
7%
Эрика Кокай
$7,301 Объем
<1%
Авенир Роса
$437 Объем
<1%
Дэвид Хорн
$2,060 Объем
<1%
Гуто Фелисио дос Сантос
$381 Объем
<1%
Марли
$392 Объем
<1%
Профессор Гильерме Аморим
$878 Объем
<1%
Роналдо Фонсека
$407 Объем
<1%
Себастьяо Коэльо
$381 Объем
<1%
Тьяго
$546 Объем
<1%
Заната
$417 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest and Correio/Opinião show a tight contest for the second Federal District Senate seat, with Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17-19%, Bia Kicis (PL) rising to 15%, and Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, all within the margin of error. Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leads overall at 22-26% and appears positioned for the first seat. Bia Kicis has gained ground since early September amid PL coordination with national figures, while Leila and Erika draw support from Lula-aligned voters. A recent TRE-DF ruling removed several Bia campaign ads over disproportionate Michelle appearances, exceeding supporter time limits. With the October 4 first round approaching and many undecided voters, second-choice preferences and turnout among polarized blocs will likely determine separation among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Объем
$48,018Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest and Correio/Opinião show a tight contest for the second Federal District Senate seat, with Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17-19%, Bia Kicis (PL) rising to 15%, and Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, all within the margin of error. Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leads overall at 22-26% and appears positioned for the first seat. Bia Kicis has gained ground since early September amid PL coordination with national figures, while Leila and Erika draw support from Lula-aligned voters. A recent TRE-DF ruling removed several Bia campaign ads over disproportionate Michelle appearances, exceeding supporter time limits. With the October 4 first round approaching and many undecided voters, second-choice preferences and turnout among polarized blocs will likely determine separation among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$48,018Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Recent polls from Quaest and Correio/Opinião show a tight contest for the second Federal District Senate seat, with Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17-19%, Bia Kicis (PL) rising to 15%, and Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, all within the margin of error. Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leads overall at 22-26% and appears positioned for the first seat. Bia Kicis has gained ground since early September amid PL coordination with national figures, while Leila and Erika draw support from Lula-aligned voters. A recent TRE-DF ruling removed several Bia campaign ads over disproportionate Michelle appearances, exceeding supporter time limits. With the October 4 first round approaching and many undecided voters, second-choice preferences and turnout among polarized blocs will likely determine separation among the top contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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