Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛула 97.2%
Флавио Болсонаро 1.4%
Зема <1%
Клариана Барао <1%
$10,325 Объем
$10,325 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Лула
97%
Флавио Болсонаро
1%
Зема
<1%
Клариана Барао
<1%
Ренан Сантос
<1%
Эдмилсон Коста
<1%
Писатель Аугусто Кури
<1%
Херц Диас
<1%
Пабло Марсал
<1%
Роналду Кайаду
<1%
Руй Кошта Пимента
<1%
Самара
<1%
Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси
<1%
Лула 97.2%
Флавио Болсонаро 1.4%
Зема <1%
Клариана Барао <1%
$10,325 Объем
$10,325 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Лула
$6,107 Объем
97%
Флавио Болсонаро
$402 Объем
1%
Зема
$399 Объем
<1%
Клариана Барао
$334 Объем
<1%
Ренан Сантос
$329 Объем
<1%
Эдмилсон Коста
$344 Объем
<1%
Писатель Аугусто Кури
$344 Объем
<1%
Херц Диас
$333 Объем
<1%
Пабло Марсал
$366 Объем
<1%
Роналду Кайаду
$421 Объем
<1%
Руй Кошта Пимента
$344 Объем
<1%
Самара
$301 Объем
<1%
Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси
$300 Объем
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Объем
$10,325Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$10,325Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы