Recent polling from early September shows incumbent governor Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a technical tie in both first-round and hypothetical second-round scenarios, with each candidate near 45% and margins within the error range. This equilibrium aligns with the tight trader consensus on Polymarket, where the two lead far ahead of minor candidates. Similar rejection levels for both contenders, combined with stable voter preferences over recent months, have kept the contest competitive without decisive separation. Scheduled debates, additional state-level surveys, and turnout patterns among key demographics could shift momentum before the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЖерониму Родригес 53%
ACM Нето 48%
Жуау Рома <1%
Клебер Роза <1%
$139,563 Объем
$139,563 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Жерониму Родригес
53%
ACM Нето
48%
Жуау Рома
<1%
Клебер Роза
<1%
Бруно Соарес Рейс
<1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя
<1%
Руй Коста
<1%
Жерониму Родригес 53%
ACM Нето 48%
Жуау Рома <1%
Клебер Роза <1%
$139,563 Объем
$139,563 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Жерониму Родригес
$45,094 Объем
53%
ACM Нето
$52,345 Объем
48%
Жуау Рома
$5,186 Объем
<1%
Клебер Роза
$13,880 Объем
<1%
Бруно Соарес Рейс
$5,325 Объем
<1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя
$11,986 Объем
<1%
Руй Коста
$5,747 Объем
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows incumbent governor Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a technical tie in both first-round and hypothetical second-round scenarios, with each candidate near 45% and margins within the error range. This equilibrium aligns with the tight trader consensus on Polymarket, where the two lead far ahead of minor candidates. Similar rejection levels for both contenders, combined with stable voter preferences over recent months, have kept the contest competitive without decisive separation. Scheduled debates, additional state-level surveys, and turnout patterns among key demographics could shift momentum before the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Объем
$139,563Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows incumbent governor Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a technical tie in both first-round and hypothetical second-round scenarios, with each candidate near 45% and margins within the error range. This equilibrium aligns with the tight trader consensus on Polymarket, where the two lead far ahead of minor candidates. Similar rejection levels for both contenders, combined with stable voter preferences over recent months, have kept the contest competitive without decisive separation. Scheduled debates, additional state-level surveys, and turnout patterns among key demographics could shift momentum before the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$139,563Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows incumbent governor Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a technical tie in both first-round and hypothetical second-round scenarios, with each candidate near 45% and margins within the error range. This equilibrium aligns with the tight trader consensus on Polymarket, where the two lead far ahead of minor candidates. Similar rejection levels for both contenders, combined with stable voter preferences over recent months, have kept the contest competitive without decisive separation. Scheduled debates, additional state-level surveys, and turnout patterns among key demographics could shift momentum before the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы