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icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Параны
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Параны

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Параны
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Параны

Серхио Моро 83%

Сандро Алекс 16%

Рекуиан Фильо 2.3%

Рафаэл Грекка <1%

Polymarket

$186,278 Объем

Серхио Моро 83%

Сандро Алекс 16%

Рекуиан Фильо 2.3%

Рафаэл Грекка <1%

Polymarket

$186,278 Объем

Серхио Моро

$121,786 Объем

83%

Сандро Алекс

$18,369 Объем

16%

Рекуиан Фильо

$22,411 Объем

2%

Рафаэл Грекка

$3,403 Объем

<1%

Гуто Силва

$3,022 Объем

<1%

Александр Кури

$5,452 Объем

<1%

Бету Рича

$2,625 Объем

<1%

Энио Верри

$3,396 Объем

<1%

Луис Франса

$5,812 Объем

<1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Paraná governor race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with recent polls showing him at 44.7–49.1% of voting intentions.** This positions him well for a possible outright victory or strong runoff performance, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the high probability assigned to his win. Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD)—the latter backed by term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior—trail in the low-to-mid 20s or teens, with the remainder of the field registering minimal support. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel and Paraná Pesquisas confirm Moro’s stable double-digit advantage and favorable head-to-head matchups. Campaign activity, including events and regional outreach by leading contenders, has not altered the polling gap in the past week. The open race stems from constitutional term limits preventing Ratinho Junior’s re-election, leaving voter preferences centered on Moro’s established position versus challengers contesting the second spot.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$186,278
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Paraná governor race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with recent polls showing him at 44.7–49.1% of voting intentions.** This positions him well for a possible outright victory or strong runoff performance, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the high probability assigned to his win. Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD)—the latter backed by term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior—trail in the low-to-mid 20s or teens, with the remainder of the field registering minimal support. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel and Paraná Pesquisas confirm Moro’s stable double-digit advantage and favorable head-to-head matchups. Campaign activity, including events and regional outreach by leading contenders, has not altered the polling gap in the past week. The open race stems from constitutional term limits preventing Ratinho Junior’s re-election, leaving voter preferences centered on Moro’s established position versus challengers contesting the second spot.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$186,278
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Серхио Моро» с 83%, за ним следует «Сандро Алекс» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 83¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $186.3K с момента запуска рынка Jun 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» — «Серхио Моро» с 83%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Сандро Алекс» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.